Way to go

S/T Buy Signal re-confirmed with move out of the chopshop and congestion of the past few days, and the rise in the T volume oscillator confirms the possibility of a small T with potential into the end of the month.

The conflict of course is the arm of the larger T structure that expired yesterday, and a cluster of scheduled highs today into Friday, and so it remains to be seen whether this has a major or minor effect – a turnaround or a choppy grind higher.

Chart of S&P 500 for 25 January 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Weak Buy Signal

Buy Signal triggered in early trade at 2274, but quickly under threat from descending resistance.
Held above important support but triangulating now, outsized move coming up soon.

There is the possibilty of some follow through into several scheduled peaks early next week, but it does seem likely that there is a significant correction coming soon.

SKEW remains elevated indicating the prescence of fear and possibility of an unexpected event, a black swan.
I suspect that this is related to comments regarding the strength of the dollar.
Keep an eye on this – it is flashing a big red warning.

Chart of S&P 500 for 23 January 2017

 

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Cover Signal at 2263

Another probe into the shortside.

After the bounce off 2259, the market is looking like maybe it will recover above the buy cover signal line of 2265 again.

Echoes of late August again.

If we hold onto 2265 into the close the Buy Signal is still active, if not we cover the long signal.

Cover at the close of 2263

Fireworks for the New Year

Sent to my readers prior to the open:

And a very warm welcome to 2017

As mentioned, the first test would be last week's pullback to the rising Gann line at 2135 and as we can see the Futures are indicating a strong open and a successful test.

Very Short Term bullish above 2244, and an S/T Buy Signal is confirmed above 2256.

Ideally we also would like to see the T volume oscillator move above zero to activate a small T with strength into MLK.

And so an S/T Buy Signal at the open at 2256.
Market fizzled but held onto the Buy Signal (and above the Sell signal level) into the close

 

 

Cover at 2258

Cover Signal at 2258 as a lack of buyers at 2270 coincides with the decline in momentum and reinforced by OSC oscillator Sell Signal.

S/T Sell signal not yet triggered and we have strong rising support lines but according to the T structure this is the downdraft from the September 12 bounce and another arm of the T structure expires tomorrow suggesting that we may suffer a lack of buying power into New Year whilst the market stabilises.

Chart of S&P 500 for 29 December 2016

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Continuation Buy Signal at 2202

Market popped up above the Buy Signal line triggering an S/T continuation signal with the bounce from the breakout line.

Chart of S&P500 for 06 December 2016

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.