First Lightning

Market closed yesterday still in Neutral / slightly Bearish Mode waiting for direction.
No strength to follow through on overnight gains, but holding onto the important 55 ema for now.

The momentum oscillator looks to be making a Buy Signal.
The T volume oscillator back just below zero – failure here is a Sell Signal.

On the anniversary of the soviets first atomic bomb test – First Lightning – the North Koreans fire a missile over Japanese air space. Futures are subsequently trading below the Sell Signal line but bounced from initial lows in the region of 2420. Early morning reaction and political rhetoric will likely set the stage for the day.

Chart of S&P 500 for 29 August 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Libération

No follow through. Cover signal triggered at 2440, but not quite a sell signal.

Chart of S&P 500 for 25 August 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

S/T Buy Signal at 2444

The market is in fine form again today and back at the important 55 ema at 2444.

As you know this is an important level and failure here would be continuation Sell Signal.

A close above 2444 is an S/T Buy Signal, with an expectation of an attempt on the descending resistance of the declining channel.

 

S/T Sell Signal at 2457

The Echo high provides a little fuel and confirms my suspicions that we saw a kiss good-bye of an important rising trend line yesterday.

Further failure at the 55 ema cancels the possible new T at last week's low and brings the possibility of a visit to the lower reaches of the channel as we look for a larger structure to form in the days or weeks to come.

Exodus

A decisive breakdown at the echo high and penultimate arm of the most recent Large T structures suggests that these structures are now complete and we should look for a new low to form a new T structure, as the market retreats from the recent all time high.

Interestingly, this breakdown also violates the long-standing rising support line from the Election low as well as the important 55 ema, suggesting that the whole Trump rally is now complete and that we may need to see some sideways and downwards corrective action, perhaps into the Fall, before the bull resumes its search for higher prices.

Of course an oversold bounce is still quite likely, and several indicators are at readings associated with short term lows.

Watch the T volume oscillator for signs of bullish divergence with price for hints of a recovery in the days or weeks to come.

Chart of S&P 500 for 11 August 2017

Be prepared for whatever comes next:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intraday alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Recovery above 2423

Market back on fine form today and re-gaining that important trend line.

If the market can hold onto these gains there is the potential for a small T into late July.

But plenty of descending resistance lines to negotiate first.

Failure of this level again would be another short opportunity.