Beware the Ides of March
A strong sell signal yesterday creating quite a negative picture. I had expected a few more days of congestion in the 1870-1880 area, so my pre-market call yesterday after the recovery on wednesday was way off.
Unless we see a rapid recovery from here – a move above 1867 is a Buy signal – then we are now set up for a move down to 1810 or even 1775 towards the end of March as indicated by the MOB.
Tomorrow is the Ides of March – watch out for falling knives.
S&P500 Short Signal at 1842
A little late in the day and will quite probably bounce tomorrow but we hit a SHORT ONLY SIGNAL with the penetration below 1843. A move back above 1867 tomorrow will reverse the signal.
Nearly a short signal at 1846
Very close to an intraday Sell signal with the move down to 1845. Watch for a bounce from line 1. Otherwise a short only signal if penetrates 1843, and if we don't recover above 1848 by the close.
10 point spike down
End of day Short term stop at 1868
Hit my end of day S/T stop at 1868 by the close after teasing 1864 earlier for a gain of 40 points.
Also closed March L/T trade for a gain just shy of 10%.






