Fake out breakout!

Looks like an abrupt end to the April fools rally and looking a bit messy. Hit the short term stop at 1872 thereby preventing any losses S/T. Looks like a bounce may occur at the mid line 1866.

Look for a bounce on monday, and then probably a re-test of the mid line at 1866 to see if we can generate a down move.

The bears are hungry.

no fear – just higher highs ?

So far so good. A bounce from lower bollinger to upper bollinger. A pause and first test of the breakout.

Long term I am now looking for a move towards trend line 2, or 3. at some point in the future (May 1st), perhaps after a series of tests of the upper trend line 5.

Chart of S&P500 for 4 April 2014