holiday fever

a rather 'suspect' Buy signal yesterday. But interestingly managed to recover back to the mid-point. Potential diagonal resistance at 1874 and back in the area of max congestion.

Neutral position until next week at least. Happy easter.

Chart of S7P500 for April 17

 

holiday dead cat underway

The ellipse projection seems to have held the down move for now, so lets see if we can get back above line 2. for a more sustained move or if we just crawl back up the underside (as with line 1.)

We can expect the shortened holiday week to be reasonably bullish moving into a 3 day weekend but discounting any geo-political risk.

Longer term projection is 1800 at line 3. May 5th.

Chart of S&P500 for 15 April 2014

dead cats

A short term bounce should now be expected, at least to test the previous support area of 1840-45.

Advanced Get is indicating that it is unlikely for a re-test of the 1897 high in the near term due to the low PTI (below 35). This in turn suggests that we are setting up for a more long term down move – sell iin May and go away?

Having broken line 2, a test of line 3. should be on the cards soon.

Chart of S&P500 for 14 April 2014

back at the 50

With the sharp move down the last 2 days the first major line of support (line 2.) comes into easy reach and I would expect to see some consolidation of the down move, a pause or even a bounce in this area. If we break that line then as with the line 1 break, then line 3 becomes the target.

The oscillator is showing weakness again and this is a reminder that when the oscillator is weak (but not oversold) that further weakness can be expected and not to trust any buy signals.

Chart of S&P500 for April 8 2014