crapshoot ?
Mixed signals. Wait for the oscillator to confirm the move, and/or wait for a closing price above or below the current congestion.
The upside would appear to be rather limited, and so I am inclined to favour the downside. However recent action is a reminder of how bullish the market is/has been.
The recent increase in daily volatility since beginning of 2014 is also suggesting that I will need to increase the intraday stops for the signals, hence 2 recent sell signals at the low of the day.
large move ahead
We did see a recovery of sorts so that the market is sitting right at the sell line. Frustrating indeed.
We are setting up for a large move, so we need to watch the oscillator now. If it recovers and moves above the upper black band then the large move may well be up. But at the moment the signals are sideways to downwards.
Sell Signal intraday at 1852
With the move down to 1852 this morning a SELL short signal is occurring.
Lets see if its confirmed by end of day. Looks like the oscillator may be correct.
chopshop
out of the woods ?
dont fight the fed
Oops – if in doubt press the sell button! So the news is in and maybe that's all we needed.
Not quite a Sell signal so we will need to watch the action over the next few days to find out which way is the one of least resistance. Nice bounce off the previous support line at 1. so we should respect that for today.
Caution required
It does look like we are heading back to new highs for a re-test of 1883, perhaps the upper trend line (5) and target for March 27 (small MOB)
Diagonal resistance line 4. appears to be taken out
Keep an eye on line 1. which we broke thru and then recovered. A second break of this line should signal a move down to line 2.
The oscillator makes a late sell signal, suggesting weakness in this recent move and this needs to be resolved either way.
S&P500 intraday LONG Signal at 1866
With the move above 1866 a Buy signal is occurring. Be prepared for a whipsaw back to the short side in the next few days. Stop and reverse position below 1851.5. The oscillator is starting to give a sell warning signal indicating weakness – I will hold the earlier L/T short position from March 12 as a hedge.
Cancelling the S/T Sell signal registers a loss of 24 points







