Snap Snap

No 'snap-back' just yet in an ugly week that really doesn't bode that well – and the longer we stay here the more likely a visit to the next lower level becomes.

Maybe we are waiting for something…

Chart of S&P 500 for 27 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

 

Consumption

In the kingdom of consumption the citizen is king.
A democratic monarchy: equality before consumption, fraternity in consumption,
and freedom through consumption.

Raoul Vaneigem

A valiant attempt at a rally and found resistance at 2359, site of the recent double tap lows.
Perhaps a fake out or a shake out. Still stabilising.

Sell signal still active, but we need to see deterioration in price to find commitment to the short side as the market works on the support level, and the T volume oscillator shows some signs of life and a divergence from price.

Chart of S&P 500 for 24 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Atmosphere

Formerly there was nothing here,
neither the sky, nor the atmosphere, nor the earth.
There was only an appearance of light,
having no beginning and no end.
Neither small nor large, formless yet having a form.
Indistinguishable yet imbued with knowledge,
consisting of bliss.

– Avyakta Upanishad 1.1, Translator: PE Dumont

Market stabilises and marks out a possible low, pushing up off 2337 and holding onto those 2 support projection lines at 2344.

I have tentatively drawn in what may be a small T structure which does seem to coincide with the pulse highs projected for late March and mid April. Early days yet.

Further stabilisation may of course be required after such a sudden drop.
Still one eye on 2295, given any further reason to sell…

Buyers above and Sellers below.

Chart of S&P 500 for 23 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

The Common Raven

And the silken sad uncertain rustling of each purple curtain
Thrilled me – filled me with fantastic terrors never felt before;
So that now, to still the beating of my heart, I stood repeating,
Tis some visitor entreating entrance at my chamber door –
Some late visitor entreating entrance at my chamber door; –
This it is, and nothing more.

– Edgar Allan Poe, The Raven

BUY Signal covered at 2370, and an S/T SELL Signal at 2363:

The market pops out at the open and challenges the downward descending trend.
Nope, this common raven is selling and taking the market way down.

Admittedly we have had some warnings, pressure upon the recent Buy Signal and the recent selling into strength, as well as the historically high Skew reading.

Failure of the small T of 9 March now shows us that there is another new T structure under construction.
Keep an eye on the T volume oscillator for any signs of recovery.

And so now we are on alert for a new climax low to occur and set up the next major T structure…

Chart of S&P 500 for 21 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Equus

Triangulation continues near the highs, and with a tightening squeeze, we find ourselves back in the confusion of the chopshop zone of the mid-channel.

Chart of S&P 500 for 21 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Spring Equinox

light meets dark in equilibrium

Small rally off 2378 met with resistance and the selling into any strength continues.
Not a great indicator for the upside, and the beginnings of a triangular pattern suggests more consolidation to come until we process the descending diagonal.

Chart of S&P 500 for 20 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Saint Patrick

Yesterday I dared to struggle. Today I dare to win.
– Bernadette Devlin McAliskey

Testing the recent high, acknowledging the descending resistance from the all time high, and some back-filling prior to the March expiration. Watch out for the usual shenanigans as traders re-set for April.

A weekend of Irish playfulness awaits.

Chart of S&P 500 for 16 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Double tap dont look back

What if all the world's inside of your head
Just creations of your own?
Your devils and your gods
All the living and the dead
And you're really all alone?
You can live in this illusion
You can choose to believe
You keep looking but you can't find the woods
While you're hiding in the trees

– Trent Reznor (Nine Inch Nails – Right Where it Belongs, from 'With Teeth', 2005)

A solid response to pre Fed whispers and the main event as the market leaves the double tap behind and heads for the highs, confirming the recent S/T Buy Signal and the small T centred on the 9 March low – a small W pattern with higher low and higher oscillator.

Next negotiations are the Pulse high that was pre-scheduled to coincide with the Ides of March, and the Echo high scheduled for Monday 20 March, and all of a sudden it seems more likely that we extend higher into late March as the Bull displays its horns again.

Chart of S&P 500 for 16 March 2017

Do you keep looking but can't find the woods?
Are you still hiding in the trees?

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Ides of March

Soothsayer. Caesar!
Caesar. Ha! who calls?
Casca. Bid every noise be still: peace yet again!
Caesar. Who is it in the press that calls on me?
I hear a tongue, shriller than all the music,
Cry 'Caesar!' Speak; Caesar is turn'd to hear.
Soothsayer. Beware the ides of March.
Caesar. What man is that?
Brutus. A soothsayer bids you beware the ides of March.

– William Shakespeare, The Tragedy of Julius Caesar, Act I, Scene 2

Another probe into the Mid-channel, and teasing with a 'cover signal'.
Weak Buy Signal still active but no follow thru yet, as we wait for the Fed's decision and commentary. Hedge accordingly.

Chart of S&P 500 for 15 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

 

Transcendence

The most beautiful experience we can have is the mysterious.
It is the fundamental emotion that stands at the cradle of true art and true science.

– Albert Einstein, The World As I See It, 1930

Another one of those days when you could have been excused for not coming into work early.
Still trading mostly above the averages and gently pushing upwards into the close.

Chart of S&P500 for 14 March 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.