Three Kings presents

Three Kings presents the Dow to 20k (well near enough for rock n roll), and aside from a push outside of the bollinger I cant see any good reason to sell. The structure is looking good for a climb into MLK and into the Inauguration to complete the next major arms of the T structure.

If the strength continues, the immediate target is 2293-5, and then a Fibonacci extension of the last rally, in line with the previous one, projects 2320s.

Having said that, lots of selling on Friday under the hood as indicated by the T volume oscillator's drop back to near zero, so we should keep an eye on this for any hints of a failure.

Chart of S&P 500 for 09 January 2017

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Three Kings

No follow through and an inside day, and tightening bollinger bands as the market sits just below all time highs.
No reason to complain just yet but the oscillator Sell Signal is still active and this is still suggesting that the market may struggle to go higher in the short term, and so the next scheduled highs may not be much higher.

Chart of S&P 500 for 06 January 2016

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Twelfth Night

If music be the food of love, play on.

William Shakepeare, Twelfth Night

A strong move up above the descending resistance and now at the horizontal.
T volume oscillator turns positive and further confirms the small T into the Inauguration which now looks like another high..

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 January 2017

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Hopscotch

Technically a significant improvement yesterday as the market lifts out of the Short Alert.

The small T drawn has been activated by the T volume oscillator and should use the cash-build up from the December oscillator peaks, and this projects highs for MLK and the Inauguration, in line with the larger T structure.

However we are not clear of the descending resistance line (yet), and so we should keep an open mind as any further weakness would reactivate the previous short signal.

Chart of S&P 500 for 04 January 2017

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Entrance

All the world’s a stage,
And all the men and women merely players;
They have their exits and their entrances,
And one man in his time plays many parts,
His acts being seven ages…

– William Shakespeare, As You Like It

Enter a New Year full of excitement, complexity and high speed trading.
Market pushed down into the rising Gann line from the November 4 low and held.
This is the first test for 2017.

A bounce here would potentially project new all time highs at the next cluster of highs scheduled for 21-26 January.
If the market continues lower then we may meet the 55 ema at about 2210 – previous resistance now possible support.

Either way we are now looking for a low and a small T to take us into the next series of peaks.

Chart of S&P 500 for 01 January 2017
 

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Countdown into 2017

Last trading day of the year and getting ready for a party to bring in the New Year.

Market playing with the mid-point and getting ready for the next move – perhaps an early January attack at 2300 to salute Donald Trump's inauguration – that would fit in with the T structure.

Or if we fail the rising support at 2235-40 – perhaps a nervous look-see at the 55 ema in the 2210s and/or lower boundary in the upper 2170s before rising into the next scheduled highs around 21 January – and that would also fit in with the T structure.

A 'Very' New Year Everyone …

Chart of S&P 500 for 30 December 2016

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Cover at 2258

Cover Signal at 2258 as a lack of buyers at 2270 coincides with the decline in momentum and reinforced by OSC oscillator Sell Signal.

S/T Sell signal not yet triggered and we have strong rising support lines but according to the T structure this is the downdraft from the September 12 bounce and another arm of the T structure expires tomorrow suggesting that we may suffer a lack of buying power into New Year whilst the market stabilises.

Chart of S&P 500 for 29 December 2016

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inocentadas

Market peeps higher but perhaps just inocentadas – prankster's day.

Chart of S&P 500 for 28 December 2016

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Boxed in

Market still 'holding up' in lacklustre trade but boxed in by slowing momentum and the cluster of highs last week.

The steep decline in momentum now looks a little ominous and suggests that an oscillator 'Sell signal' may occur in about 2 days unless we start to see some holiday bullishness before New Year.

Next major arm of the T structure scheduled for thursday…

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Twelve Days

Market having problems digesting the recent overtly bullish move, and still finding a lack of conviction at these levels.

And the Major Target was acheived.

Expect further drift into New Year as the majority of traders now take their eyes off the table and enjoy the fruits of their labor.

I would like to wish all of my readers a very happy and relaxing Holiday and a Prosperous New Year !

Chart of S&P 500 for 22 December 2016

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.