Sell Signal at 2149
Short term Sell Signal from 2149.
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Early bullish start to the day triggered a short-term Buy Signal but as we can see the consequent pullback remains consistent with the recent triangular and descending resistance.
Given the benefit of doubt due to the potentially bullish nature of the end arms of the large red T and recent small blue T, but looks like we may still be suffering from the see-saw day-trading environment.
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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
One week before the expiration of the large Red T structure formed at the 'Brexit' panic low the market appears to have 'stopped' and is effectively treading water waiting for some kind of catalyst.
Should we take the blue pill or the red pill – will the market Buy its way out of this stalemate or Sell off ?
What I believe is happening is that the downward force of the ending of the really long-range T structures – marked in pink and purple – are being counteracted by the upward force of the Red T structure.
The Red T structure is significant because it starts from an extreme high in the oscillator and is centred on an extreme low, similar to the main arm of the pink T structure.
As we can see the recent low formed a small T but the oscillator has failed (so far) to make any headway and the market has muddled along sideways. The downward sloping 'cash-build up' line marked in green remains unbroken and waiting to be used in the next T structure.
So what happens next? We 'should' see a push upwards into the final days of the Red T structure, followed by a distinct lack of buying power afterwards, ideally accompanied with some heavy selling and a low in the oscillator to form a new T structure, and hopefully a rally into Christmas after the Election is resolved.
Be prepared.
This is your last chance. After this, there is no turning back. You take the blue pill—the story ends, you wake up in your bed and believe whatever you want to believe. You take the red pill—you stay in Wonderland, and I show you how deep the rabbit hole goes. Remember: all I'm offering is the truth. Nothing more.
– The Matrix, Dir: The Wachowskis, 1999
Market still undecided, and not sure which pill to take.
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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Come back, baby
Back into my arm
We're gettin' tired of hangin' around
Waitin' around with our heads to the ground
I hear a very gentle sound
Very near yet very far
Very soft, yeah, very clear
Come today, come today
– Jim Morrison, The Doors, 1967
This morning I found myself humming 'When the music's over, turn out the lights…'
I'm starting to see this recent action (since mid July) as a large diamond or lozenge shape, a waiting game if you will.
The End of this tiresome movement (presumably of exhaustion) should therefore coincide with the expiration of the red T structure.
From a technical perspective, the market is right on the line…
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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Choose your side of the fence and defend as appropriate. Grab a few points here and there.
Very close to a Buy signal yesterday but stayed short due to the tight triangulation and presence of a cycle high yesterday.
Still on a *Short Alert* and would require exit above the triangle to overide that.
Put / Call ratios signalling complacency associated with tops in markets.
Bollinger bands descending and tightening due to negatively shaped triangulation.
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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
On a Sell Signal since yesterday afternoon's drop below 2154, but need to see some follow through as maybe the market will continue its seesaw chop up and down. As I have mentioned before, there are some strong (perhaps dark) forces at play keeping this market up.
Hopefully the end of the red T structure (Oct 17 or thereabouts) will provide some resolution to this malaise.
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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
A Short Signal from 2151 occurring with the market dropping out of the recent triangle, and looking like its right on time with a cycle high scheduled for tomorrow, and the recent expiration of major arm of the red T structure.
Maybe targetting support lines at 2130 or 2120.
More tomorrow.
Maybe stuck, or maybe a stick up.
Since mid June the market has essentially gone nowhere, in a series of flatlines separated by skids, or jolts, perhaps seizures..
is the patient still alive ?
and this triangle is running out of space,
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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Triangle in play and hit expected resistance at 2172-5 with profit-taking.
Recovery of the T volume oscillator suggesting that there is the possibility of short-term strength into the early part of the week with another short-term high scheduled for October 4-5.
Choppy day-traders market likely to continue until direction resolved.
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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.