February week one close

Lovely move up today – nearly 1800 again - that was quick! Must have surprised everyone and definitely surpassed my expectations.

There is some congestion here at 1800 -1810 – if we can clear that easily on monday/tuesday then new highs are possible again.

S&P500 Short term Buy Signal confirmed

Yesterdays decent rally of 21 points and close above 1767 confirms the expected short-term Buy signal. Notice the Sell-Buy-Sell action and 15 point spike-down on the 5th Feb leading to the move. Notice that gann line 3 is holding. And CCI confirms the move. A reversal is occurring if we see 1756 or lower intraday today or close below 1761. Note gann line 1. potential support.

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Get ready to Buy ?

It appears that the market is finding some support here at 1740ish at gann line 3. and could be considered a speculative Buy. Certainly a short-term long position above 1767 today with a close above the green line and a very tight stop at 1757 but needs a close above 1810 to confirm a more relaxed long-term buy.

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Wednesday Feb 5

Not a huge bounce yesterday and still looking for stabilisation of the oscillator, perhaps a early warning  buy signal from the CCI. It appears that gann line 3 may be holding, and a move below the grey boundary is often a good buying level. Caution is a good tactic after such a fast move down.

Short term Buy above 1772 which could target the mid at 1813, major support at 1720-30. a bounce at 1705-10 would be a good buying opportunity. A move below 1700 and there is real trouble.

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Tuesday Feb 4

And that just goes to show that you need to wait to see the buy signal rather than anticipate it.

Yesterday's selloff broke through 1772 and 1750 and unless we see a huge move back up today above 1774, then best stay away and let the dust settle. Gann support line (3) just below yesterdays close.

Very interesting commentary from Bob Karrow and Jeff Saut worth a read : Stock-Market-Observations

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Friday 31 January 2014

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Stopped short of 1798 (the upper pink boundary of the green-line) and so failed to make a buy signal.

Strength above 1798 today would confirm a buy signal but the futures are down a long way today.

A flush out to 1750 might set up a short-term bottom from here.

30 January bounce ?

Nice bounce induced by Facebook, now at 1795.

A strong day which will most probably close at or near highs.

Want to see close at or above 1798 to initiate a long tomorrow. Still in the areas of a dead-cat bounce so caution required.