dont fight the fed
Oops – if in doubt press the sell button! So the news is in and maybe that's all we needed.
Not quite a Sell signal so we will need to watch the action over the next few days to find out which way is the one of least resistance. Nice bounce off the previous support line at 1. so we should respect that for today.
Caution required
It does look like we are heading back to new highs for a re-test of 1883, perhaps the upper trend line (5) and target for March 27 (small MOB)
Diagonal resistance line 4. appears to be taken out
Keep an eye on line 1. which we broke thru and then recovered. A second break of this line should signal a move down to line 2.
The oscillator makes a late sell signal, suggesting weakness in this recent move and this needs to be resolved either way.
tiptoeing on the line
Falling Knives
Beware the Ides of March
A strong sell signal yesterday creating quite a negative picture. I had expected a few more days of congestion in the 1870-1880 area, so my pre-market call yesterday after the recovery on wednesday was way off.
Unless we see a rapid recovery from here – a move above 1867 is a Buy signal – then we are now set up for a move down to 1810 or even 1775 towards the end of March as indicated by the MOB.
Tomorrow is the Ides of March – watch out for falling knives.









