Blow off alert ?
10 point spike
March Hares
We start March in a great position, and a move above the important 1850 level. No reason to short this. We need to see a close above the grey channel or a weakening of the oscillator. The grind goes on.
Russia / Ukraine have put a negative bid on the opening – lets see if we can hold 1845 by the close. Futures have recovered a bit.
Blow off monday ?
A nice spike up into the fresh air today with some decent selling into the close (again). Need to see a close below yesterday's open to confirm a short-term top. I think this is still the 'digestion' of the recent 100 point run up in preparationj for the bigger move (up or down). Don't want to short this thing until we see some weakness in either price or the oscillator.
weak close friday?
Nothing much changed but note the friday expiration weak close. Perhaps a pull-back to 1810 is on the cards.
Still we are above the lines for now and we may just need to grind around at this level Target remains at 1865-1880 unless we break down below 1800. Lots of potential support so patience is required here. Perfect for premium selling.









