Bloomsday

Ask no questions and you'll hear no lies.

– James Joyce, Ulysses, 1922

The market continues marking out the recent range defined by the 9 June roller coaster day, and with the weakening of the oscillators in a bullish environment we might expect this volatile chop to continue, especially considering the effects of some hard selling in the tech sector.

This is reminiscent of the January and early March periods with the market absorbing its discovery of higher prices.

Chart of S&P 500 for 16 June 2017

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In motion

We think the representation to be unimpeachable, until we throw all our preconceived impressions on one side, and seek the truth by independent observations from Nature herself.

– Eadweard Muybridge

A profit-taking day and a short term peak and another touch of that rising line from the low, still in-line with the suggested 'possible New Large T structure' which is still only a possibility as the T volume oscillator backs off from its recent high and the Osc oscillator remains neutral.

Still holding up above the Buy Signal line for now, but the Osc oscillator is hinting at the potential for a decline or choppy grind sideways, and we may need to see some more probes to the downside before the next strong move upwards.

So long as the market doesn't make a cover signal then a grind to higher prices is still likely, but if it does make a cover signal we will look for a new low to occur and form a new structure which may still support the current possible projection.

Chart of S&P 500 for 15 June 2017

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Stars and Stripes

The Bull flexes its muscles and proves to us that we are still very much on a Buy signal.

The T volume oscillator makes a tentative new relative high, potentially activating the cash-build up line that goes all the way back to the February highs in the oscillator, and so I have drawn in the possible new large T structure.

Still early days, but if correct, this structure projects highs towards the end of June that would synchronise with the scheduled echo and pulse highs and then possible further strength into late July and August.

Chart of S& P 500 for 14 June 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Catalina

Market remains relatively unscathed – a bounce off the rising support line from the recent low, testing the downside, but holding up above the Buy Signal level especially with the last minute push higher.

The T volume oscillator is still above the zero line providing strength but the OSc oscillator is descending and will most probably make a 'sell signal' today – unless we get a really strong up day today.

There is a possible small price T centred on Friday's spike low which could provide some strength into the next cluster of scheduled echo and pulse highs, unless of cause the market does decide to rollover and sell off. Watch the rising line from the recent low for evidence of that.

Chart of S&P 500 for 13 June 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Roller Coaster

The important 9 June end date for the 2 current T structures certainly produced an exciting day at the funfair – something for everyone.

Perhaps the sign of things to come – an increase in volatility – as the market makes a new high, reverses dramatically, plunges below the cover level, and then recovers in a late afternoon rally into the close.

Significant damage done, but the T volume oscillator ends the day positive indicating overall positive breadth and the Buy Signal remains for now. In contrast the OSc oscillator is falling and looks like it may make a 'sell' signal in a day or two and is signalling a slowing of the bullish momentum.

Although the market may grind or chop higher, short term the risk of a more serious decline are elevated. Trade carefully.

Chart of S&P 500 for 12 June 2017

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Columba

Market see saws below the highs, and remains within a slightly descending and holding pattern waiting for a catalyst to provide direction.

T volume oscillator remains in neutral, and the OSc oscillator flattens off indicating the potential stalling of momentum.

Current T structures expire today, not a time for risk taking as we could expect to see a distinct lack of buying power next week.

Chart of S&P 500 for 09 June 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Oceans

Our Oceans, Our Future
(World Oceans Day)

A nice bounce but still potentially within a descending or holding pattern just below the highs.

T volume oscillator at the zero inflection point.

The current small T expires today or possibly tomorrow along with the larger 'Secondary DB' T Structure.

I would recommend hedging acccordingly as the risk of a decline is increasing.

Chart of S&P 500 for 08 June 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Vestalia

Market in gentle decline, in-line with the 2 June echo high and penultimate arm of the current T structure (Secondary DB).

We still have projections for a high on 8 or 9 June and so another attempt at the recent high is possible, but with the endgame of the current T structures close to hand the risks of a decline are increasing.

Watch the declining angle for hints of an advance, and/or support or failure of the Buy Signal.

Chart of S&P 500 for 07 June 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Overlord

A pause for thought at the echo high.

Penultimate arm of 'Secondary DB' T structure today.

Chart of S&P 500 for 06 June 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Torch

You know that it would be untrue
You know that I would be a liar
If I was to say to you
Girl, we couldn't get much higher

Come on baby, light my fire
Come on baby, light my fire
Try to set the night on fire

– The Doors, Light my Fire, 1967

An impressive push into new territory near the end of the current T structures.
Market in 'Hurry up' mode.

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 June 2017

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.