The Rain Falls and the Sky Shudders

Moby, The Rain Falls and the Sky Shudders, 1993

–

A gap up open to 2732 is sold into with profit-taking and the resulting retracement to 2715 is met with buyers and a base is built for furher exploration of the 2730 level. A slightly hesistant market and at the next projection for a high from the primary T Structure.

An echo high scheduled for today, and another later in the week.

Chart of S&P 500 for 07 March 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Colette

Initial weakness is bought strongly and the market moves rapidly higher through the Buy Signal line at 2713.

The strong move up is supported by the T volume oscillator which moves up to the zero level.

A positive development but further strength is still required to fully re-activate the cash-build up from December and release the market to the upside.

Chart of S&P 500 for 06 March 2018

Chart of S&P500 with Magic T volume oscillator for 06 March 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Piran

The market gapped down but after initial weakness held the 2650 level and found buyers throughout the day to recover into the close. No follow through to the Sell Signal, and although the signal is technically still active (but only just) it seems likely that the market is stabilising again.

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 March 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Losing Ground

Losing ground
Under my feet
There's a low rumbling
There's a crack in the street
It's just no good
It's just no good anymore
Everything I do
Has been done before

Yeah I found my voice
Yeah I got nothing to say
The whole thing started
Cause my mind has gone away
I used to get high
Now I just get lost
I used to bark at the moon
The first one I came across

PJ Harvey, Losing Ground, 1996

–

Initial weakness triggers a Sell signal at 2705 but this is quickly bought with a surge to 2730.

The selling resumes and another Sell Signal is triggered at 2705 in early afternoon trade with the market dropping quickly to find buyers at 2660 and a slight recovery into the close.

Sell Signal still active but suggest to take profits yesterday and re-assess this morning. Look for selling into bounces to continue if the market is going lower.

With weakness below the important pivot we are now looking for another low and a new structure to form in due course. Watch for divergence.

Chart of S&P 500 for 02 March 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Yoke

Brothers be ye constant.
The yoke which with single mind ye have taken, bear ye to the end;
and whatsoever ye have seen with me and heard, keep and fulfil.

Saint David, † 589

–

The market continues to sell into any strength and continues lower into the close with a Cover Signal triggered at 2734.

The T volume oscillator drops again significantly in-line with the selling and this now establishes 26 February as an important high, putting the new T under increased pressure and it may now be collapsing or complete. This now identifies 24 January as an important beginning of the decline from the all time high.

This of course now places the market back at what was important support for another test of strength.

IF the selling continues we will be looking for another low to combine with the previous one and form another T structure in due course.

IF the market recovers rapidly, we have additional projections for highs in early and late March.

Chart of S&P 500 for 01 March 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Andalucia

The Market takes a look at 2789 and at the declining line from the all time high and quickly decides to put in a short-term peak. Profit-taking initiates a sell sequence with selling into each of the subsequent bounces throughout the rest of the day.

The T volume oscillator responds by dropping significantly below zero and this in itself is potentially a warning, as the strength of selling yesterday could indicate that there is more to come.

However, we are still above the Buy Signal level. The high Arms Index reading yesterday is high enough to suggest a wash-out may have occurred (or is nearly complete) and that a quick sell-off may be all that was required to release the pressure of the recent bullish adventure.

The exciting roller-coaster ride continues.

Chart of S&P 500 for 28 February 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Birds Flyin’

Birds flyin' high, you know how I feel
Sun in the sky, you know how I feel
Breeze driftin' on by, you know how I feel
It's a new dawn, it's a new day, it's a new life for me
Yeah, it's a new dawn, it's a new day, it's a new life for me, ooooooooh
And I'm feelin' good

Nina Simone, Feeling Good, 1965
(Songwriters: Leslie Bricusse, Anthony Newley)

–

Pop!, gap up and go, as the market continues on its squeeze out of the congestion around the previous high and heads for…? Where?

The previous all time high? Maybe.

The Magic T volume oscillator moves up again and adds to the current strength of the structure.

The new large T structure projects highs in early March and then also potentially in late March. Plenty can happen inbetween.

Watch how price behaves at the declining resistance angles from the high and keep an eye on the rising support lines below.

Today brings with it a pulse high which may add a little profit-taking to the mix.

Chart of S&P 500 for 27 February 2018

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intraday alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

 

Plute

Still working off the exuberance of last week's move, and struggling to find direction as volatility drives the market's erratic fast shop, chop, pump and dump.

An early Buy Signal cannot hold its gains and rolls over midday.

Expect this to continue.

A dangerous market – a Brave New World for machine minds.

Chart of S&P 500 for 23 Febraury 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

In the Forest

In the forest lives a monster
he has done terrible things
so in the wood it's hiding
And this is the song he sings

Who will love me now
Who will ever love me?
Who will say to me
You are my desire
I'll set you free

(Who will love me now)
Who will forgive and make me live again
Who will bring me back to the world again
(to the world again)

PJ Harvey, Who Will Love Me Now?, 1998

–

The Market gaps up and heads higher finding support above 2725 into the Fed announcement that adds a burst of adrenalin and a surge into 2747.

Unfortunately the market then reacts violently and the resulting sell off continues into the close and triggers a Cover Signal at 2701. Something is wrong.

The T volume oscillator drops hard below zero and the negative action in price raises a short alert and the possibility of further selling.

Again the market behaves in a a violent and unpredictable manner in-line with the high levels of volatility indicated by the Vix.

Dangerous market conditions continue.

Chart of S&P 500 for 22 February 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Valverde

A negative development as the Market continues Friday's weakness looking for support and direction.

The T volume oscillator drops to just below zero flashing a warning sign.

There should be strong support in the vicinity of 2700 and a bounce here would be encouraging, but further weakness could certainly send the market much lower looking for another level of support.

Watch carefully for signs of strength or weakness at this level.

Chart of S&P 500 for 21 February 2018

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.