Checkpoint

A pause at the highs, some profit-taking and some indecision.

For now, the market is at a projection for a high and at the previous major price high, somewhat over-extended and potentially susceptible to the declining resistance angles from the all time highs(s).

Some kind of pull-back seems likely, perhaps consolidation within the recent move up from 2750 as price catches up with itself.

Chart of S&P500 for 09 November 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

White Mountain

The market pops on a relief rally and heads for the 55 ema and the previous high at 2813 in a momentum move beyond expectations.

An echo high, a move above the important 200 day moving average, and another strong move up in the T volume oscillator suggesting that the current T structure is larger.

The market continues its extremely bipolar character with huge gaps creating additional volatility and fear of missing out as price moves into potential resistance.

Target acheived, or the beginning of another attempt on all time highs?

Buy Signal continues but is now significantly above normal expectations – is this the new normal – and therefore over-stretched and dangerous. Price may need to catch up with itself or could easily reverse.

Chart of S&P500 for 08 November 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Gaither

The market continues higher challenging the previous high and moving above the mid-channel.

An echo high is scheduled for today, and so we expect some weakness afterwards.

Futures are up considerably on election results, placing the market above the 200 day moving average for the first time since 22 October, a close above would be a very positive development.

The T volume oscillator moves up again and is now at the relative high of 21 October. This is also a positive development as it potentially activates larger sections of the new T structure.

Although for now, the structure is a V shaped T structure, as and when we get another pullback, we may find that the structure starts to morph into a larger and more complex structure, depending upon whether the new primary low is challenged or not.

Chart of S&P 500 for 07 November 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Forest

The market grinds higher, showing that for now, Friday's weakness was just heavy profit-taking at the initial target.

Still above the Buy Signal line.

Moving into a pulse and an echo high.

Expect more drama.

Chart of S&P 500 for 06 November 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Gunpowder

Something for everyone with a surge to the Mid-Channel triggering some very heavy profit-taking.

Support finally found at 2700 as the market looks to re-establish some kind of support.

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 November 2018
 

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

All Souls

Despite Wednesday's spike, the market powers higher.

The S/T Buy Signal continues with the T volume oscillator moving significantly higher, and the osc oscillator is about to make a momentum Buy Signal.

Chart of S&P 500 for 02 November 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

All Saints

A pop and rally as the market opens up significantly above the Buy Signal line at 2687 but ultimately ends back at even as the market continues with its now characteristic afternoon sell-down.

An S/T Buy Signal at 2711.

A recovery of sorts but finding some strong negative forces on the declining angles, too far too soon.

Expect more deeply choppy bipolar behaviour as the market continues to resolve its problem.

Chart of S&P 500 for 01 November 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Samhain

A gap up and pop to 2672 followed by some heavy back-filling, but strength returns in the afternoon and the market closes just below the Buy Signal line.

Not quite a Buy Signal but a close above the Sell Signal line.

The T volume oscillator moves up strongly and looks to be confirming the 'possible new T structure' centered on Monday's low. A new primary low with the possibility of some upside now.

Chart of S&P 500 for 31 October 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Repression

Market heads higher in early trade and just touches the S/T Buy Signal level at 2706. No follow through and  quickly retraces back through 2792 triggering an S/T Sell Signal.

Another brutal afternoon of selling, with very strong buying at the low near 2600.

Cover at or prior to the close.

Chart of S&P 500 for 30 October 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Cyrus

Another huge gap down and a spike low at 2629 meets buying in a wild day followed by the now characteristic afternoon selloff.

Are we there yet? Well, maybe..

Look for the 'afternoon high' to hold first and then some follow through next day to signal some change in mood.

Bear Market Warnings continue to flash and price volatility including the significant overnight gaps lower is making directional trading very difficult.

The Market is still significantly below the Sell Signal level and although a strong bounce from here is quite possible, there is still significant downside risk and price still has a problem.

Chart of S&P 500 for 29 October 2018

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.