Are we there yet

Bounce target acheived yesterday, so we could certainly start to see some profit taking.
But secondary target now looking like 1925-1955.

Strength above the support/resistance line is suggestive of further strength. Watch to see if we crack here or next few days (as many seem to expect) or if we can stabilise above the mid channel and power higher.

OSC now on a Buy signal.

Chart of S&P500 for 18 February 2016

Bounce into expiration

Short term target for this bounce is between 1880 – 1920.
However we did close above the support/resistance line.
First arm of split T structure, and first T structure is Friday.

Do we get a drive upwards into expiration and then a reversal or a sell off?
Magnets at 1950, 1900, 1850, 1800

Chart of S&P500 for 17 February 2016

S/T Buy Signal at 1860

Buy Signal in late trade, confirmed by the close.
T volume Oscillator also turns positive.

The 2nd low and oscillator divergence is a potentially good sign suggestive of a possible T structure pointing to March and April highs, maybe even 2025-2050.

However, we can expect significant resistance in the 1870-1920 area.

Watch the ellipse to confirm whether or not we are still in a strong down trend as the alternative suggestion is a target of 1750 – 1620.

Untitled-1

Grrr

Need to try and stay above 1850.
Notice the T volume oscillator has only just turned negative. Another Sell signal.
This either means we have a lot further down to go – maybe down as far as the MOB at 1730…
or we are setting up divergence for a rally. Needs to start soon.
All indicators are currently negative…

Chart of S&P500 for 10 February 2016

Hello 1850

With another long spike down below 1850, I guess the question is are we 'done yet'?
Maybe, but watch the rising support/resistance line to see if we get a similar recovery to October last year.

However the fact that we broke that line suggests to me that we are going lower at some point.

Chart of S&P500 for 9 February 2016

Squeeze

The break from that consolidation pattern was in the expected direction.
Probably going to try and stabilise at this level again.

Still looking for a move to the bollingers and then reverse.

Chart of S&P500 for 8 February 2016

Oil rush

Market saved by strength in oil, and pull back in an up-trend completed.

Further strength now will suggest an assault on 1975 – the top of the grey channel, bollinger, and the 55MA.

Chart of S&P500 for 4 February 2016