Trading the Line

pop and drop

Still holding up above 2000 – just.
Either we give up the level or we move on up from here.

Lets see what Mario has to say today.

Steve Rushton September 4, 2014No Comments

consolidation

Held at the important 1994 level and oscillator strong but flat.
Looks like consolidation at the highs in preparation for a move upwards rather than an end to the move.

Above 1984 still looking good. I still favor a grind upwards to 2020-2025.

Steve Rushton September 3, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

and then 2000

Did we overcome 2000 on Friday? Perhaps.

We are now expecting an increase in volatility.

Watch the behaviour at the rising support and resistance lines in particular S1 and R1.

Steve Rushton September 2, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Survived the morning negativity and held above 1989. Was that all that is required to drive the market higher? Or the beginning of something more serious.Maybe just the effects of the 70 day pulse from May 15 and 20.

No reason to sell just yet – keep monitoring the oscillator for signs of further weakness.

Steve Rushton August 29, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

dog day afternoons

Gripping onto 2000, and looking like a much needed pause in the uptrend before…

I think – a push up into a momentum peak on September 10. Well we will see.

Any pullbacks here should be contained by 1988 and rising – next target 2020-2030.

Interesting note for the next major Low projected for mid-late October – the 1950 area is now the cross-position of 55EMA and 20MA and this provided strong support for the April Low and last October low.

Steve Rushton August 28, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

fear of heights

2000 but only just, indicating we just see a slow grind up or sideways now into the holiday weekend.

Steve Rushton August 27, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

and then it was 2000

So we reached 2000 at last, and the knee-jerk reaction is to sell and take some profits. And maybe that's right – it has been a scream from 1904 to 2000.

The T structure suggests that we are not finished yet. So until proven incorrect look for higher highs and watch the trailing support lines for any hint of weakness.

Next major peak should be 10 September at about 2020. (guess)

Steve Rushton August 26, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

no news is no news

Nothing much from Jackson Hole. Market pause for thought.

Keep looking for a momentum peak, trailing stop at 1976.

Unless there is a negative catalyst this is just floating higher.

Steve Rushton August 25, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Jackson Hole

Which brings us to Jackson Hole.

The S&P in breakout mode, poised to take 2000 and not showing any particular reason to sell, other than being rather overbought (RSI 2 at 99.6 ) – not a great reason!

It seems like we are looking for a momentum top – perhaps a blow off – and I can perceive significantly higher prices from here. Buckle up Dorothy!

Steve Rushton August 22, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Fed Fuel

More Fed Fuel, and a very strong market.

Steve Rushton August 21, 2014No Comments

“Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.”
Leonardo da Vinci

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
Albert Einstein

“All of our days are numbered. We can not afford to be idle. To act on a bad idea is better than to not act at all because the worth of the idea never becomes apparent until you do it. Sometimes this idea can be the smallest thing in the world; a little flame that you hunch over and cup with your hand and pray will not be extinguished by all the storm that howls about it. If you can hold on to that flame, great things can be constructed around it; things that are massive and powerful and world changing. All held up by the tiniest of ideas.”
Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

2026 Positions

(All numbers refer to SPX)

S/T SELL Signal below 6845 on 03 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6877 on 02 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6850 on 02 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6857 on 27 Feb

COVER Signal below 6884 at 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6884 on 23 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6850 on 23 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 23 Feb

COVER Signal at 6864 on 23 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6883 on 18 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6834 on 17 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6888 on 12 Feb

COVER Signal at 6915 on 12 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6899 on 06 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 06 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6901 on 04 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

COVER Signal at 6942 on 03 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6968 on 02 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 30 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6910 on 30 Jan

COVER Signal at 6940 on 30 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6907 on 29 Jan

COVER Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6905 at 6923 on 22 Jan

COVER Signal at 6849 on 21 Jan

S/T SELL Signal below 6894 at 6843 on 20 Jan

COVER Signal below 6925 at 6843 on 20 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6961 on 15 Jan

COVER Signal below 6934 at 6925 on 14 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6890 at 6900 on 05 Jan

COVER Short Signal at 6864 on 02 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 02 Jan

Mission

It has been my Mission to create a simple but effective method for investing in the stock market, so that I would always know what to do regardless of the circumstances.

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“In the end, I’m not interested in that which I fully understand. The words I have written over the years are just a veneer. There are truths that lie beneath the surface of the words... truths that rise up without warning, like the humps of a sea monster and then disappear. What performance and song is to me is finding a way to tempt the monster to the surface, to create a space, where the creature can break through what is real and what is known to us. This shimmering space where imagination and reality intersect... this is where all love and tears and joy exist. This is the place. This is where we live.”
Nick Cave 20,000 days on Earth

“If you're going to try, go all the way. Otherwise, don't even start. This could mean losing girlfriends, wives, relatives and maybe even your mind. It could mean not eating for three or four days. It could mean freezing on a park bench. It could mean jail. It could mean derision. It could mean mockery--isolation. Isolation is the gift. All the others are a test of your endurance, of how much you really want to do it. And, you'll do it, despite rejection and the worst odds. And it will be better than anything else you can imagine. If you're going to try, go all the way. There is no other feeling like that. You will be alone with the gods, and the nights will flame with fire. You will ride life straight to perfect laughter. It's the only good fight there is.”
Charles Bukowski, Factotum, 1975

>“The mind is a glass floor.
The mind is the spirit’s tear.
The mind is our prior and subsequent ghost.
The mind is the Bullion Express and the blood on the tracks.
The mind is a stone door.
The silver on the backs of mirrors.
The wave that defines the coast.
It’s what the drunk grave robbers couldn’t stuff in their sacks.
The mind is the sum of all and more.
The spasm between one and zero in the Calendar of Black-Hole Years.
The contract between the lash and the whipping post.
A quilt of dreams stitched with facts.
A meaningless argument among whores.
Rain that keeps falling when the sky clears.
A masquerade party, guest and host.
A candlelit landscape of puddled wax.
The mind is what thought is for.
The parking lot at the Mall of Fears.
The fire-pit for the piggy roast.
What the soul surrendered and won’t take back.
The mind is neither either nor or.
The real center of an empty sphere.”
Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

“The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical society is only possible on the basis of poverty and ignorance. This new version is the past and no different past can ever have existed. In principle the war effort is always planned to keep society on the brink of starvation. The war is waged by the ruling group against its own subjects and its object is not the victory over either Eurasia or East Asia, but to keep the very structure of society intact.”
George Orwell

“There was a student... just the other day... who said that my problem, if one's nature is a problem, rather than just problematic, is that I see things in terms of victory or death, and not just victory but total victory. And it's true: I always have. It's either victory, or don't bother. The only thing worth doing is the impossible. Everything else is gray. You're born... as a man... with the nerves of a soldier, the apprehension of an angel, to lift a phrase, but there is no use for it. Here? Where's the use for it? You're set up to be a philosopher or a king or Shakespeare, and this is all they give you? This? Twenty- odd years of school which is all instruction in how to be ordinary... or they'll fucking kill you, they fucking will, and then it's a career, which is not the same thing as existence... I want unlimited things. I want everything. A real love. A real house. A real thing to do... every day. I'd rather die if I don't get it.”
The Gambler (2014), Dir. Rupert Wyatt