Trading the Line

Thunder

And she turned around and took me by the hand and said,
I've lost control again.
And how I'll never know just why or understand,
She said I've lost control again.

Joy Division, She's Lost Control, 1979
(Bernard Sumner, Ian Curtis, Peter Hook, Stephen Morris)

–

A 20 point drop into the Sell Signal area, a slight bounce which fails and then the selling really starts.

An S/T Sell signal at 2794.

An OSC Sell Signal.

T volume oscillator at a very low level already (-89), so we are now looking for a low to occur and a strong bounce at some point but the market will need a significant amount of stabilising first after this shock.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intraday alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Steve Rushton February 3, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Groundhog

Market stabilising. An attempt towards the Buy Signal line is sold back down to the low of the day, and the momentum is therefore still down.

Declining channel still active.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton February 2, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Thorn

Onward! And Onward! And Onward I go
Where no man before could be bothered to go
Till the soles of my shoes are shot full of holes
And it's all downhill with a bullet…

Nick Cave & The Bad Seeds, Do You Love Me? (Part 2), 1994

–

Market continues to stabilise and back away slightly from the recent high, defining a declining channel.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton February 1, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update S&P500 signal

Marianne

Now so long, Marianne
It's time that we began to laugh
And cry and cry and laugh about it all again

Well, you know that I love to live with you
But you make me forget so very much
I forget to pray for the angels
And then the angels forget to pray for us

Leonard Cohen, So Long, Marianne, 1967

–

A gap down below the cover signal level without any significant recovery, suggesting that the market needs some further stabilisation.

Zooming out you can see that the recent peak synchronised with the projection for a high from the 15 March peak, reinforced by similar projections from the smaller more recent structures.

There is the possibility for another high associated with the earlier peak on 01 March – another attempt at a high perhaps?

We are now looking for some kind of low to occur. The T volume oscillator has been in decline and forming a cash-build up line since the 18 December high and is already at a level associated with lows (-55) though of course it can go much lower. This is the fuel for the next advance. Look for stabilisation in the oscillator and then a move upwards through the cash-build up line to initiate the next T structure.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton January 31, 2018No Comments

S&P500 signal

COVER Signal below 2839

Market gapped down below the Cover Signal line and although it stabilised throughout the day it failed to recovery back above.

We will wait for the market to stabilise and make the next signal.

Steve Rushton January 30, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Alive

Oil dripping on my head
Let's go back to bed
Bring you back
Bring you back
From the dead
From the dead
Wishing you were here by me
Wishing you were here
Let's massage history
All the money's gone
All the money's gone
Funny it was never here
It was never here
Here's a song
Here's a song
To massage along
History along
Come with me
To the other side
Not everyone makes it out alive
Come with me
To the other side not everyone makes it out
Alive

– Sonic Youth, Massage the History, 2009

–

Price proves to be unsustainable above the gray channel (again).

The T volume oscillator drops significantly, showing the strength of the profit-taking yesterday and suggesting that the market does need some consolidation after such a powerful start to the year.

Watch for declining resistance at the high to confirm whether the move is complete, or not, as the averages catch up with price.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton January 30, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Fly Me Away

Fly me away on an aeroplane
High in the sky
Wanna see you again
Wanna know this time

Gonna tell you what I'm feeling
Gonna know this time
Gonna get it back, that feeling

Miles and miles of sun
Endless roads, twist on
Don't wanna live a life
In a world that's all the same
The crazy little things
That you do are magical

This crazy life
This crazy world
We're living in is
Magical

– Goldfrapp, Fly Me Away, 2005. Songwriters: Alison Elizabeth Goldfrapp / William Owen Gregory

–

Market gaps up and beyond the possible declining angle at the mid week high, and closes with yet another major high, in-line with the Large(r) T structure, as the market continues to show no signs of letting up on the parabolic move.

T volume oscillator turns back above zero.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton January 28, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Mirror

I'll be your mirror
Reflect what you are, in case you don't know
I'll be the wind, the rain and the sunset
The light on your door to show that you're home

When you think the night has seen your mind
That inside you're twisted and unkind
Let me stand to show that you are blind
Please put down your hands
Cause I see you

I find it hard to believe you don't know
The beauty that you are
But if you don't let me be your eyes
A hand in your darkness, so you won't be afraid

When you think the night has seen your mind
That inside you're twisted and unkind
Let me stand to show that you are blind
Please put down your hands
Cause I see you

I'll be your mirror

– Lou Reed, The Velvet Underground, I'll Be Your Mirror, 1966

–

Beautiful words, especially when sung by the lovely voice of Nico.

The T volume oscillator turns negative (again) indicating that there is (still) significant profit-taking occurring at the highs and puts us on alert for the possibility of some more selling given that yesterday was an echo high and a projection for some kind of a peak from the 2 main structures.

More to come still?, yes, most likely in due course, as we have seen profit-taking and traders chasing the market higher throughout this year's advance as indicated by the cash-build up line since the 18 December high in the oscillator.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton January 26, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Poppies

But pleasures are like poppies spread,
You seize the flower, its bloom is shed;
Or like the snow falls in the river,
A moment white – then melts for ever;
Or like the borealis race,
That flit ere you can point their place;
Or like the rainbow's lovely form
Evanishing amid the storm.-
Nae man can tether time or tide;
The hour approaches Tam maun ride;
That hour, o' night's black arch the key-stane,
That dreary hour he mounts his beast in;
And sic a night he taks the road in
As ne'er poor sinner was abroad in.

– Robert Burns, Tam o'Shanter, 1790

–

Price above the extremes triggers some profit-taking, as we move into the next projection from the DB T structure and the Large(r) T structure, and an echo high.

Keep your eyes upon the wheel.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton January 25, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Monkey

The creature in the sky
Got sucked in a hole
Now there's a hole in the sky

And the ground's not cold
And if the ground's not cold
Everything is gonna burn
We'll all take turns, I'll get mine too

This monkey's gone to Heaven

– Pixies, Monkey gone to Heaven, 1989

–

The Market continues to ratchet up the gains.

First major target of the year acheived, but is there more?

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton January 24, 2018No Comments

“Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.”
Leonardo da Vinci

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
Albert Einstein

“All of our days are numbered. We can not afford to be idle. To act on a bad idea is better than to not act at all because the worth of the idea never becomes apparent until you do it. Sometimes this idea can be the smallest thing in the world; a little flame that you hunch over and cup with your hand and pray will not be extinguished by all the storm that howls about it. If you can hold on to that flame, great things can be constructed around it; things that are massive and powerful and world changing. All held up by the tiniest of ideas.”
Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

2026 Positions

(All numbers refer to SPX)

S/T SELL Signal at 6756 on 11 Mar

S/T BUY Signal above 6826 on 10 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6792 on 10 Mar

S/T SELL Signal at 6765 on 10 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6772 on 09 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6810 on 06 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6822 on 05 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6822 on 05 Mar

COVER Signal below 6849 on 05 Mar

S/T BUY Signal at 6882 on 04 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6849 on 04 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6845 on 03 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6877 on 02 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6850 on 02 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6857 on 27 Feb

COVER Signal below 6884 at 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6884 on 23 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6850 on 23 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 23 Feb

COVER Signal at 6864 on 23 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6883 on 18 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6834 on 17 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6888 on 12 Feb

COVER Signal at 6915 on 12 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6899 on 06 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 06 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6901 on 04 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

COVER Signal at 6942 on 03 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6968 on 02 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 30 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6910 on 30 Jan

COVER Signal at 6940 on 30 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6907 on 29 Jan

COVER Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6905 at 6923 on 22 Jan

COVER Signal at 6849 on 21 Jan

S/T SELL Signal below 6894 at 6843 on 20 Jan

COVER Signal below 6925 at 6843 on 20 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6961 on 15 Jan

COVER Signal below 6934 at 6925 on 14 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6890 at 6900 on 05 Jan

COVER Short Signal at 6864 on 02 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 02 Jan

Mission

It has been my Mission to create a simple but effective method for investing in the stock market, so that I would always know what to do regardless of the circumstances.

The result is a rigorous system which allows the market to tell you what to do, when to Buy, when to Hold, when to Cover, and when to Sell, and it removes the need for you to have any opinion whatsoever.

And so, I present to you the diary of my personal trading system, and a record of the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow me along but please understand that the information posted here is for entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Please sign up for my occasional FREE REPORTS and if you would like to find out more and receive my email alerts and more detailed observations, please SIGN UP HERE

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“In the end, I’m not interested in that which I fully understand. The words I have written over the years are just a veneer. There are truths that lie beneath the surface of the words... truths that rise up without warning, like the humps of a sea monster and then disappear. What performance and song is to me is finding a way to tempt the monster to the surface, to create a space, where the creature can break through what is real and what is known to us. This shimmering space where imagination and reality intersect... this is where all love and tears and joy exist. This is the place. This is where we live.”
Nick Cave 20,000 days on Earth

“If you're going to try, go all the way. Otherwise, don't even start. This could mean losing girlfriends, wives, relatives and maybe even your mind. It could mean not eating for three or four days. It could mean freezing on a park bench. It could mean jail. It could mean derision. It could mean mockery--isolation. Isolation is the gift. All the others are a test of your endurance, of how much you really want to do it. And, you'll do it, despite rejection and the worst odds. And it will be better than anything else you can imagine. If you're going to try, go all the way. There is no other feeling like that. You will be alone with the gods, and the nights will flame with fire. You will ride life straight to perfect laughter. It's the only good fight there is.”
Charles Bukowski, Factotum, 1975

>“The mind is a glass floor.
The mind is the spirit’s tear.
The mind is our prior and subsequent ghost.
The mind is the Bullion Express and the blood on the tracks.
The mind is a stone door.
The silver on the backs of mirrors.
The wave that defines the coast.
It’s what the drunk grave robbers couldn’t stuff in their sacks.
The mind is the sum of all and more.
The spasm between one and zero in the Calendar of Black-Hole Years.
The contract between the lash and the whipping post.
A quilt of dreams stitched with facts.
A meaningless argument among whores.
Rain that keeps falling when the sky clears.
A masquerade party, guest and host.
A candlelit landscape of puddled wax.
The mind is what thought is for.
The parking lot at the Mall of Fears.
The fire-pit for the piggy roast.
What the soul surrendered and won’t take back.
The mind is neither either nor or.
The real center of an empty sphere.”
Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

“The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical society is only possible on the basis of poverty and ignorance. This new version is the past and no different past can ever have existed. In principle the war effort is always planned to keep society on the brink of starvation. The war is waged by the ruling group against its own subjects and its object is not the victory over either Eurasia or East Asia, but to keep the very structure of society intact.”
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“There was a student... just the other day... who said that my problem, if one's nature is a problem, rather than just problematic, is that I see things in terms of victory or death, and not just victory but total victory. And it's true: I always have. It's either victory, or don't bother. The only thing worth doing is the impossible. Everything else is gray. You're born... as a man... with the nerves of a soldier, the apprehension of an angel, to lift a phrase, but there is no use for it. Here? Where's the use for it? You're set up to be a philosopher or a king or Shakespeare, and this is all they give you? This? Twenty- odd years of school which is all instruction in how to be ordinary... or they'll fucking kill you, they fucking will, and then it's a career, which is not the same thing as existence... I want unlimited things. I want everything. A real love. A real house. A real thing to do... every day. I'd rather die if I don't get it.”
The Gambler (2014), Dir. Rupert Wyatt