Pesach

The market winds down into the Pesach / Passover / Easter / Eostre / Ostara weekend with a series of looks higher, at 2910 to 2916.

A small megaphone suggesting that the market is not yet ready to move above this level, and the T volume oscillator turns negative flashing a warning.

Price has remained firmly above the S/T Buy Signal level since the gap up on 29 March, but that now looks under threat.

The market is currently at a long projection from the main T structure for a high from the important 29 August high with additional highs projected by the smaller structures for early next week.

Spring in the air.

Chart of S&P 500 for 18 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Market closing at 2900

The market gaps up into 2916 and immediately starts selling strongly.

Another gap up and strong selling from the morning high continues the theme of the week.

As we have a major projection for a high at this time (from the main structure), I am taking the weakness and deterioration in price today seriously.

Still holding up above the Buy Signal / Cover level, and back in the S/T channel, but the reactions above 2900 are telling.

The T volume oscillator drops below zero flashing a warning.

Formula

For those who believe in God, most of the big questions are answered. But for those of us who can't readily accept the God formula, the big answers don't remain stone-written. We adjust to new conditions and discoveries. We are pliable. Love need not be a command nor faith a dictum. I am my own god. We are here to unlearn the teachings of the church, state, and our educational system. We are here to drink beer. We are here to kill war. We are here to laugh at the odds and live our lives so well that Death will tremble to take us.

Charles Bukowski

The market opens higher and backs away from 2916, continuing to process price above 2900.

The market is in the area for a projection of a high from the main T structure, and the secondary and cluster structure project into early next week. An echo high is scheduled for 23 April. The combined forces may lead to a conclusion of the current advance.

Chart of S&P 500 for 17 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Just as lightning…

Just as lightning makes no sound until it strikes, the Negro Revolution generated quietly. But when it struck, the revealing flash of its power and the impact of its sincerity and fervor displayed a force of a frightening intensity. Three hundred years of humiliation, abuse, and deprivation cannot be expected to find voice in a whisper.

Martin Luther King Jr, Why We Can't Wait, 1964

The market pulls back a little and grinds processing price just above 2900.

Mixed signals continue, but price remains defiantly resilient.

Close to an important projection for a high.

Chart of S&P 500 for 16 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Serse

The market pops up and processes price above 2900.

The T volume oscillator turns back up above zero but is relatively muted considering the jump in price, suggesting some lack of commitment.

Chart of S&P 500 for 15 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Interlinked

"And blood-black nothingness began to spin…
A system of cells interlinked within cells interlinked within cells interlinked within one stem…
And dreadfully distinct against the dark, a tall white fountain played."

Bladerunner 2049, 2017, Dir: Denis Villeneuve

The market looks at 2893 and pulls back a little.

Oscillators turning neutral at the highs.

Chart of S&P 500 for 12 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Louie Louie

A fine little girl, she waits for me
Me catch the ship across the sea
Me sailed the ship all alone
Me never think I'll make it home

Louie Louie, oh no no no, me gotta go, oh no
Louie Louie, oh baby, me gotta go

Richard Berry, Louie Louie, 1963

Gap up, grind, push and shove as the market gradually moves higher in response to the Fed position.

Chart of S&P 500 for 11 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Sleep alone

Caution of the world he said was over
Caution where we were
Caution where we were
Oh

For a long time we stayed down
And all we said was sleep alone
Watch the city fall
With those eyes so low
Watch the sunlight
Watch it go
Watch the storm rise
Watch the storm fall
Watch the storm rise
I watch the storm fall

Moby, Mere Anarchy, 2018

An over-heated and potentially exhausted market slips and slides, finding some end of day support – for now – just above the Buy Signal level.

The T volume oscillator drops, significantly towards zero indicating the lack of buying power apparent yesterday, hinting that we have seen a short term high at the projection from the secondary T structure centered at 08 March.

Watch to see if the shallow declining angle from the high contains any further recovery advances and / or if this starts to set up a declining channel.

Chart of S&P 500 for 10 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Breathe

The market shrugs off a weak opening and continues to head for 2900.

Chart of S&P500 for 09 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Milos

The market thrusts higher on the echo and pulse high to close just below the important 2900 level and not far from the upper extreme of the channel.

Although we should be prepared for some kind of pull-back or weakness after the echo and pulse highs, the market continues to look strong with both oscillators displaying relative strength.

Chart of S&P 500 for 08 April 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.