Falles

The first time, ever I saw your face
I thought the sun rose in your eyes
And the moon and the stars
Were the gifts you gave
To the dark, and the endless skies
My love
To the dark, and the endless skies

Roberta Flack, The First Time Ever I Saw Your Face,  1969
(Songwriter: Ewan McColl)

The market pushes decisively upwards at the breakout area above 2820.

The Put/Call ratios flash a 'warning', perhaps not surprisingly given the strength in price, but making the market somewhat vulnerable as it moves into projections for an important high in the days ahead.

Chart of S&P 500 for 19 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Wild is the Wind

Love me, love me, love me, say you do
Let me fly away with you
For my love is like the wind
And wild is the wind
 
Give me more than one caress
Satisfy this hungriness
Let the wind blow through your heart
For wild is the wind
 
Nina Simone, Wild is the Wind, 1966
 
 
The market pushes higher at the 2820 level and the oscillators turn positive supporting the current Buy Signal and the projections for upcoming highs.
 
Chart of S&P 500 for 18 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Ides of March

There is a tide in the affairs of men
Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune;
Omitted, all the voyage of their life
Is bound in shallows and in miseries.
On such a full sea are we now afloat;
And we must take the current when it serves,
Or lose our ventures.

William Shakespeare , Julius Caesar, 1599

A pause at the highs prior to quarterly expiration.

Not surprisingly, the market takes a breather and the oscillators turn neutral showing that here is some indecision at this level.

Chart of S&P 500 for 15 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Universe

A human being is a part of the whole called by us 'universe', a part limited in time and space.
He experiences himself, his thoughts and feeling as something separated from the rest,
a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. This delusion is a kind of prison for us,
restricting us to our personal desires and to affection for a few persons nearest to us.
Our task must be to free ourselves from this prison by widening our circle of compassion
to embrace all living creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty.

Albert Einstein

The market heads strongly higher above 2800, taking a look above 2820 with the first serious challenge to this major level.

The T volume oscillator turns positive in support of the recent small T centered at last week's low, with upcoming projections for highs in late March that are also in-line with projections from the larger T structure centered at the December low.

Chart of S&P 500 for 14 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Ouranos

Another strong day, pushing up towards 2800 as the current Buy Signal continues.

Chart of S&P 500 for 13 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Aurelian

The market thrusts higher continuing Friday's late recovery and pushing decisively back towards the recent highs.

The return to strength triggers an S/T Buy Signal at 2770 and the improvement in the T volume oscillator forms a new small T and perhaps the beginnings of a larger T structure.

Chart of S&P 500 for 12 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Constantine

A gap down on poor economic news pushes the market below the 200 day average and flashes a warning.

The market holds up above the lows and finds buyers to push back up into the close.

Chart of S&P 500 for 11 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Mimosa

The market drops out of the gate and triggers an S/T Sell Signal at 2761.

Looking for stability at the 200 day moving average.

Chart of S&P 500 for 08 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Perpetua

A move through 2785 triggers a Cover signal as the market declines below the S/T channel and fails to recover.

First level support at 2764 and 2767 and much below 2760 will trigger more intense selling.

Chart of S&P 500 for 07 March 2019

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Misunderstanding

Misunderstanding is my name
What I am is not a game
Such an easy trap to fall
For anyone
And then you find yourself alone
No explanation you can give
That you or I believe, understand
Such a shame, no way to live
But hard to get away from

Marianne Faithfull, Misunderstanding, 2018

Weak oscillators after such a strong move up into a previous resistance level are currently suggesting risk and we are seeing regular strong selling (or profit-taking) at highs indicating that the market is not confident that there is much upside available at the moment.

Chart of S&P 500 for 06 March 2019

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To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intraday alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.