Playing catch up

Market still in Warning phase as each rally attempt has been met with selling and keeping within the downward channel, but sitting right on the breakout level. Obviously waiting for the next catalyst, and playing catch up

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 December 2016

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Roll into December

"He who every morning plans the transaction of the day and follows out that plan, carries a thread that will guide him through the maze of the most busy life. But where no plan is laid, where the disposal of time is surrendered merely to the chance of incidence, chaos will soon reign."
– Victor Hugo

And so we can see that the expectation of an Echo high at the 2nd major arm of the T structure on Black Friday was correct, and although we had a couple of false starts and a re-test of the high, yesterday's action confirmed the end of the first move of the Trump rally.

We can now expect the market to be somewhat choppy as it is a reflection of the late September / early October period, and wait for the market to work off its over bullish character.

As the market is still in a strong uptrend I do not recommend shorting it (yet).

Chart of S&P 500 for o2 December 2106

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Roll ?

World AIDS Day

“I am only one, but I am one. I cannot do everything, but I can do something. And because I cannot do everything, I will not refuse to do the something that I can do.”
– Edward Everett Hale

Early strength fades for the 3rd day in a row, 2210 seems to have been too much for the market and the market dumps into the close, but holds onto the Buy Signal for now.

Chart of S&P 500 for 01 December 2016

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Rattle

Rotation under the surface and the late afternoon selling reveals a gentle descending line and strength above that will signal the continuation higher.

Chart of S&P 500 for 30 November 2016

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Shake

Market makes its first re-assessment of the Trump rally and takes some profits, right on a scheduled Echo high.
Probably just looking for a re-test of the breakout zone, but a deeper probe down to the 2170s also a possibility.

As I advised there were lots of good reasons for taking profits on Black Friday, and we may need a few days to re-charge before the rally continues.

Chart of S&P 500 for 29 November 2016

 

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Cyber Monday

New highs and thoroughly over-heated so a 'pull-back' of some sort is now due.
Short term target acheived at 2210.
Strong support at the breakout level.
Next line of resistance activated at 2235-45.

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Time for a break

Enjoy the turkey.

Market continues to push upwards in-line with expectations, and approaching a short-term Echo high and the arm of T structure from the October 24 break-down.

And so we may need a break after Thanksgiving to relieve the pressure, and then can expect a grind into the next Echo high in early December.

Chart of S&P500 for 25 November 2016

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Thanksgiving

It is through gratitude for the present moment that the spiritual dimension of life opens up.
– Eckhart Tolle

I would like to thank all my readers and wish you all a wonderful Thanksgiving.

Chart of S&P 500 for 23 November 2016

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Please, sir, I want some more

'Please, sir, I want some more.'
The master was a fat, healthy man; but he turned very pale. He gazed in stupified astonishment on the small rebel for some seconds, and then clung for support to the copper. The assistants were paralysed with wonder; the boys with fear.
'What!' said the master at length, in a faint voice.
'Please, sir,' replied Oliver, 'I want some more.'

– Charles Dickens, Oliver Twist, 1837-9

Break through to new all time highs activates the 'Make or Break' projection – a very useful tool built into the Advanced Get software -  from the August peak.

This target area is 2210-2220. Push into Thanksgiving. Game on.

Chart of S&P 500 for 22 November 2016

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.