Marguerite

Probe to 2260 and a bear trap resolved to the upside with strong move off the rising gann line again, adding credence to the current signal – a close lower would have changed the picture with warning signals flashing at that level.

Char of S&P 500 for 12 January 2017

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Sideways stutter

No conviction at the 2279 level to push the bollinger higher and the market dumps into the close again.
Looks like the familiar sideways stutter at the highs that we experienced in July and August last year while we wait for co-ordinated direction. I suspect we have too many bulls for higher prices and no catalyst to send the market lower, (yet)

Chart of S&P 500 for 11 January 2017

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Rubicon

Friday's pop above the upper bollinger and subsequent retreat below has brought in more sellers.
The bollingers are now quite tight as the market starts to prepare for the next big move.
Still above the buy signal line and major rising support line, but the T volume oscillator's drop below zero is now warning of the potential for a more severe correction. Keeping an open mind though as the market does not seem to want to go down, yet.

Chart of S&P500 for 10 January 2017

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Three Kings presents

Three Kings presents the Dow to 20k (well near enough for rock n roll), and aside from a push outside of the bollinger I cant see any good reason to sell. The structure is looking good for a climb into MLK and into the Inauguration to complete the next major arms of the T structure.

If the strength continues, the immediate target is 2293-5, and then a Fibonacci extension of the last rally, in line with the previous one, projects 2320s.

Having said that, lots of selling on Friday under the hood as indicated by the T volume oscillator's drop back to near zero, so we should keep an eye on this for any hints of a failure.

Chart of S&P 500 for 09 January 2017

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Three Kings

No follow through and an inside day, and tightening bollinger bands as the market sits just below all time highs.
No reason to complain just yet but the oscillator Sell Signal is still active and this is still suggesting that the market may struggle to go higher in the short term, and so the next scheduled highs may not be much higher.

Chart of S&P 500 for 06 January 2016

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Twelfth Night

If music be the food of love, play on.

William Shakepeare, Twelfth Night

A strong move up above the descending resistance and now at the horizontal.
T volume oscillator turns positive and further confirms the small T into the Inauguration which now looks like another high..

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 January 2017

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Hopscotch

Technically a significant improvement yesterday as the market lifts out of the Short Alert.

The small T drawn has been activated by the T volume oscillator and should use the cash-build up from the December oscillator peaks, and this projects highs for MLK and the Inauguration, in line with the larger T structure.

However we are not clear of the descending resistance line (yet), and so we should keep an open mind as any further weakness would reactivate the previous short signal.

Chart of S&P 500 for 04 January 2017

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Fireworks for the New Year

Sent to my readers prior to the open:

And a very warm welcome to 2017

As mentioned, the first test would be last week's pullback to the rising Gann line at 2135 and as we can see the Futures are indicating a strong open and a successful test.

Very Short Term bullish above 2244, and an S/T Buy Signal is confirmed above 2256.

Ideally we also would like to see the T volume oscillator move above zero to activate a small T with strength into MLK.

And so an S/T Buy Signal at the open at 2256.
Market fizzled but held onto the Buy Signal (and above the Sell signal level) into the close

 

 

Entrance

All the world’s a stage,
And all the men and women merely players;
They have their exits and their entrances,
And one man in his time plays many parts,
His acts being seven ages…

– William Shakespeare, As You Like It

Enter a New Year full of excitement, complexity and high speed trading.
Market pushed down into the rising Gann line from the November 4 low and held.
This is the first test for 2017.

A bounce here would potentially project new all time highs at the next cluster of highs scheduled for 21-26 January.
If the market continues lower then we may meet the 55 ema at about 2210 – previous resistance now possible support.

Either way we are now looking for a low and a small T to take us into the next series of peaks.

Chart of S&P 500 for 01 January 2017
 

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational & entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.