back at the 50

With the sharp move down the last 2 days the first major line of support (line 2.) comes into easy reach and I would expect to see some consolidation of the down move, a pause or even a bounce in this area. If we break that line then as with the line 1 break, then line 3 becomes the target.

The oscillator is showing weakness again and this is a reminder that when the oscillator is weak (but not oversold) that further weakness can be expected and not to trust any buy signals.

Chart of S&P500 for April 8 2014

Fake out breakout!

Looks like an abrupt end to the April fools rally and looking a bit messy. Hit the short term stop at 1872 thereby preventing any losses S/T. Looks like a bounce may occur at the mid line 1866.

Look for a bounce on monday, and then probably a re-test of the mid line at 1866 to see if we can generate a down move.

The bears are hungry.

no fear – just higher highs ?

So far so good. A bounce from lower bollinger to upper bollinger. A pause and first test of the breakout.

Long term I am now looking for a move towards trend line 2, or 3. at some point in the future (May 1st), perhaps after a series of tests of the upper trend line 5.

Chart of S&P500 for 4 April 2014