Trading the Line

S&P500 daily update

Fireworks

At the end of the first arm of the T structure.
Unstable and 'toppy'.

Risk to reward: High

Target 2050.

Steve Rushton November 6, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

first target acheived

We arrive at the first arm of the projected T structure using split oscillator centres. We can expect a pullback to occur from here, perhaps after a re-test of the high today.

Still looks like we are heading into a peak around 10 or 11 november, but right now will need to grind sideways, or down a little, absorbing that massive move.

Further out look for a pull-back to the rising trend line S1.

Steve Rushton November 4, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

taking profits, maybe.

Market seriously overbought, above gray channel, and close to the S2 line.
Risk of reversal quite high.

Could be quite choppy and toppy into the projected mid November peak.

Steve Rushton November 4, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Gap and go

A gap up and close at new highs – what a couple of weeks… the bull keeps going.

And looks like a new bull run is being initiated, with very strong volume oscillator.

Watch out for resistance along S2 for potential kiss goodbye, and target 2050 at the MOB.

Steve Rushton November 3, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

on a jolly

Nothing to see here, move along now, just a market going up vertically.
Happy Halloween!

Steve Rushton October 31, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Follow up the fed

Strength was sold (note touch of upper grey channel) and weakness was bought – indescision.

It looks like we need some consolidation to absorb the recent move, but the market wants to go up.

Steve Rushton October 30, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

smell the money

Continued strength, and moving into another momentum peak.

Dare I say the current target looks like 2040-50.

Steve Rushton October 29, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

To all intents and purposes we have now acheived the recovery from the 10% decline from the Sept 19 peak, and if the 'down-trend' was to stay in place then this is where we would expect to see the recent rally to falter.
This is clearly shown by the ellipse tool.

However the T structure looks strong with a momentum peak on Oct 24, and so we should expect to see continuation at least into mid November.

Steve Rushton October 28, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update

more strength

The last 2 days seem to have resolved the resistance at the 55 Ema (for now), and it wouldn't be surprising to see new highs or matched highs

The current T structure suggests that the strength will last into a topping pattern between 11th and 19th of November, it is slightly fuzzy due to the flat top between 26 August and 8 September.

Steve Rushton October 27, 2014No Comments

S&P500 daily update S&P500 signal

L/T Buy Signal re-confirmed at 1933

Yesterday's strong action reconfirms the L/T Buy Signal, but we did see failure above the 55EMA so we may need a few days to get through here. Some consolidation is required.

Also we reached the end of the first arm of the current T structure, and so we should expect some profit-taking.

Steve Rushton October 24, 2014No Comments

“Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.”
Leonardo da Vinci

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
Albert Einstein

“All of our days are numbered. We can not afford to be idle. To act on a bad idea is better than to not act at all because the worth of the idea never becomes apparent until you do it. Sometimes this idea can be the smallest thing in the world; a little flame that you hunch over and cup with your hand and pray will not be extinguished by all the storm that howls about it. If you can hold on to that flame, great things can be constructed around it; things that are massive and powerful and world changing. All held up by the tiniest of ideas.”
Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

2026 Positions

(All numbers refer to SPX)

S/T SELL Signal below 6845 on 03 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6877 on 02 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6850 on 02 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6857 on 27 Feb

COVER Signal below 6884 at 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6884 on 23 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6850 on 23 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 23 Feb

COVER Signal at 6864 on 23 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6883 on 18 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6834 on 17 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6888 on 12 Feb

COVER Signal at 6915 on 12 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6899 on 06 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 06 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6901 on 04 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

COVER Signal at 6942 on 03 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6968 on 02 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 30 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6910 on 30 Jan

COVER Signal at 6940 on 30 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6907 on 29 Jan

COVER Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6905 at 6923 on 22 Jan

COVER Signal at 6849 on 21 Jan

S/T SELL Signal below 6894 at 6843 on 20 Jan

COVER Signal below 6925 at 6843 on 20 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6961 on 15 Jan

COVER Signal below 6934 at 6925 on 14 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6890 at 6900 on 05 Jan

COVER Short Signal at 6864 on 02 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 02 Jan

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“In the end, I’m not interested in that which I fully understand. The words I have written over the years are just a veneer. There are truths that lie beneath the surface of the words... truths that rise up without warning, like the humps of a sea monster and then disappear. What performance and song is to me is finding a way to tempt the monster to the surface, to create a space, where the creature can break through what is real and what is known to us. This shimmering space where imagination and reality intersect... this is where all love and tears and joy exist. This is the place. This is where we live.”
Nick Cave 20,000 days on Earth

“If you're going to try, go all the way. Otherwise, don't even start. This could mean losing girlfriends, wives, relatives and maybe even your mind. It could mean not eating for three or four days. It could mean freezing on a park bench. It could mean jail. It could mean derision. It could mean mockery--isolation. Isolation is the gift. All the others are a test of your endurance, of how much you really want to do it. And, you'll do it, despite rejection and the worst odds. And it will be better than anything else you can imagine. If you're going to try, go all the way. There is no other feeling like that. You will be alone with the gods, and the nights will flame with fire. You will ride life straight to perfect laughter. It's the only good fight there is.”
Charles Bukowski, Factotum, 1975

>“The mind is a glass floor.
The mind is the spirit’s tear.
The mind is our prior and subsequent ghost.
The mind is the Bullion Express and the blood on the tracks.
The mind is a stone door.
The silver on the backs of mirrors.
The wave that defines the coast.
It’s what the drunk grave robbers couldn’t stuff in their sacks.
The mind is the sum of all and more.
The spasm between one and zero in the Calendar of Black-Hole Years.
The contract between the lash and the whipping post.
A quilt of dreams stitched with facts.
A meaningless argument among whores.
Rain that keeps falling when the sky clears.
A masquerade party, guest and host.
A candlelit landscape of puddled wax.
The mind is what thought is for.
The parking lot at the Mall of Fears.
The fire-pit for the piggy roast.
What the soul surrendered and won’t take back.
The mind is neither either nor or.
The real center of an empty sphere.”
Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

“The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical society is only possible on the basis of poverty and ignorance. This new version is the past and no different past can ever have existed. In principle the war effort is always planned to keep society on the brink of starvation. The war is waged by the ruling group against its own subjects and its object is not the victory over either Eurasia or East Asia, but to keep the very structure of society intact.”
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“There was a student... just the other day... who said that my problem, if one's nature is a problem, rather than just problematic, is that I see things in terms of victory or death, and not just victory but total victory. And it's true: I always have. It's either victory, or don't bother. The only thing worth doing is the impossible. Everything else is gray. You're born... as a man... with the nerves of a soldier, the apprehension of an angel, to lift a phrase, but there is no use for it. Here? Where's the use for it? You're set up to be a philosopher or a king or Shakespeare, and this is all they give you? This? Twenty- odd years of school which is all instruction in how to be ordinary... or they'll fucking kill you, they fucking will, and then it's a career, which is not the same thing as existence... I want unlimited things. I want everything. A real love. A real house. A real thing to do... every day. I'd rather die if I don't get it.”
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