Avalanche

Well I stepped into an avalanche,
It covered up my soul;
When I am not this hunchback that you see,
I sleep beneath the golden hill.
You who wish to conquer pain,
You must learn, learn to serve me well.

Leonard Cohen, Avalanche, 1971

Back up to the recent high.

Buy signal continues.

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 September 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

V is for volatility

Three thousand in July and a rough August with some chaotic selling action and 3 recent important looking lows as the market pumps and dumps in the box from 2820 to 2940.

With similarities from previous drops out of all time highs and volatility becoming a signature for consolidation, we look forward to an action packed Fall.

And a market very much in a place of mixed signals.

Daily chart of S&P 500 for 04 September 2019

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As we can see in the chart below with the T volume oscillator*, the oscillator started to flash warning signs at the 15 July high, hinting of exhaustion.

The early August low makes an impact low in the oscillator and the oscillator has subsequently been rising throughout the recent consolidation pattern.

This is, of course, a complex structure that could resolve to either the upside or collapse into a more important lower low.

* The T volume oscillator is an indication of Buying Power within the market as a whole

Chart of S&P 500 for 04 September 2019

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The weekly chart continues to show a bullish market within the context of a long term trajectory having found support at the long term rising angle.

However, the oscillator is weakening again, hinting at the possibility of further exploration of the downside, and a break below the recent lows would quickly target the May low at 2750 and possibly the more important support levels below that.

Weekly Chart of S&P 500 for 04 September 2019

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The monthly chart highlights the important resistance above coinciding with the 4 important peaks.

The Mega T structure projects another important high for October, and the oscillator remains strong supporting the possibility of new highs and perhaps ultimately a break out above that resistance line in due course.

Monthly chart of S&P 500 for 04 September 2019

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2019 continues to bring some fast and furious action in the market with a range that continues to be expansive. We can only assume that this will continue. This is a Brave New World.

Regardless of whether the market can continue higher or whether significant lows are ahead of us, the simplicity of the proprietary price based S/T Signalling System continues to keep us on the correct side of the market, with price currently back on a Buy Signal.

If you would like to learn more about using the S/T Signalling System please get in touch.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Angel

The market starts September with a drop and a challenge to the current Buy Signal is contained with the close above 2900.

Chart of S&P 500 for 04 September 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Eagle

The market attempts to push through previous resistance at the 2940 line.

Chart of S&P 500 for 03 September 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Masque

The market gaps up and goes, heading back to the recent highs.

Buy Signal continues.

Chart of S&P 500 for 30 August 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Induction

The market moves up cancelling out the previous Sell Signal and triggering a Buy Signal at 2887.

Chart of S&P 500 for 29 August 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Hermes

the divine trickster…

The market gaps up into a Buy Signal above 2893, meets strong selling and triggers a new Sell Signal at 2879.

Dangerous market conditions continue.

Chart of S&P 500 for 28 August 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Defile

An attempt at recovery takes the market back up to the Cover short signal line.

Chart of S&P 500 for 27 August 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

Medina

The market recovers the gap down and then the selling starts, triggering a Cover Signal at 2905 and an S/T Sell Signal at 2889.

Back near the previous lows.

Sell Signal active, but Futures indicate some kind of recovery.

Chart of S&P 500 for 26 August 2019

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.