Fake out breakout!

Looks like an abrupt end to the April fools rally and looking a bit messy. Hit the short term stop at 1872 thereby preventing any losses S/T. Looks like a bounce may occur at the mid line 1866.

Look for a bounce on monday, and then probably a re-test of the mid line at 1866 to see if we can generate a down move.

The bears are hungry.

S&P500 intraday LONG Signal at 1866

With the move above 1866 a Buy signal is occurring. Be prepared for a whipsaw back to the short side in the next few days. Stop and reverse position below 1851.5. The oscillator is starting to give a sell warning signal indicating weakness – I will hold the earlier L/T short position from March 12 as a hedge.

Cancelling the S/T Sell signal registers a loss of 24 points

1859

Flatlining most of the day around 1859 – admittedly close to today's 1860 Buy signal level – but really needs to see a strong close 1862+  to commit to the Buy signal.

1. The oscillator will most likely make a sell signal tomorrow
2. Diagonal resistance at 1872 today, 1870 tomorrow needs to be cleared

Mixed signals, understandable given the perceived risk to global markets.