S&P500 daily update

Radix

A gap up and look-see at 2570 before an afternoon trip lower to have another look at 2530.

Still significantly below the Sell Signal level but with possible signs of stabilization.

All eyes on the FED.

Risk remains high.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intraday alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area and the Explanatory Notes for all of the concepts discussed.

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Steve Rushton December 19, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Expectation

Stair step selling continues with a strong push down at the open, an attempt to recover to 2600 before selling resumes, taking price down to the 2538 pivot and to levels last seen in February.

Chaotic volatile bear market behaviour rapidly reversing direction, continuing to sell into advances as soon as they display any weakness.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 18, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Sturm

A gap down significantly below the Sell Signal level. A brief look at 2635 and then strong selling in a very choppy decline to 2600 as the market continues to look for a low or series of new lows.

Entry when significantly below the Sell Signal level can lead to additional risk as the market chops heavily about, reacting to the sudden drop in price.

A Sell signal is still active today and if the market can stabilise and start to move higher, above the S/T channel would be a Buy Signal with the caution that it might take several attempts to stop the selling behaviour and turn the market and the S/T channel upwards.

First we need to see a low, in place. If that occurred on Friday we will need to see trade above Friday's high for a believable recovery. If not we will continue to see an investigation of lower prices and a continuation of choppy and confusing action.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 17, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Glass Floor

The mind is a glass floor.
The mind is the spirit’s tear.
The mind is our prior and subsequent ghost.
The mind is the Bullion Express and the blood on the tracks.
The mind is a stone door.
The silver on the backs of mirrors.
The wave that defines the coast.
It’s what the drunk grave robbers couldn’t stuff in their sacks.
The mind is the sum of all and more.
The spasm between one and zero in the Calendar of Black-Hole Years.
The contract between the lash and the whipping post.
A quilt of dreams stitched with facts.
A meaningless argument among whores.
Rain that keeps falling when the sky clears.
A masquerade party, guest and host.
A candlelit landscape of puddled wax.
The mind is what thought is for.
The parking lot at the Mall of Fears.
The fire-pit for the piggy roast.
What the soul surrendered and won’t take back.
The mind is neither either nor or.
The real center of an empty sphere.

Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

…

A confusing and choppy market continues with a very short-lived Buy signal above 2664 followed by a Sell Signal below 2651. Very tight stops are required. Recommend cover at the close.

The Sell Signal continues to be active at prices below 2648.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 14, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update S&P500 signal

Horizon

The market gaps up huge and after a some looking at 2674 the selling resumes triggering an S/T Sell Signal at 2666. The strong bounce at 2622 signals enough for the time being and we see a bounce to 2660 before selling resumes into the close.

Cover at or prior to the close at 2636 and let's see what happens next.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 12, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Volta

“Let's get really fucked up and full of sentimental despair
and then finally decide life, despite every heartbreak and anguished cry,
is worth each pulse and breath”

Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

…

The chaotic volatile behaviour of the market continues with a drop below 2600 to visit 2585 and a strong choppy bounce back up.

Another reversal recovery in the vicinity of the recent lows and the extreme of the channel.

This is an important level for the market to defend.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 11, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Conception

The market fails to move back above the 2715 Sell Signal level and quickly plunges in another day of intense and very choppy selling.

Back at the recent lows and flashing a very loud warning.

This market is in a mess and there is very little in the way of structure to suggest anything other than more highly volatile days ahead.

The market is looking for a low and it could be a lot lower as yesterday's action is opening up Pandora's Box to lower prices. See recent free report written just before the post Thanksgiving bounce.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 8, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Thorn

A gap, a plunge and a recovery into the close. Something for everyone.

Another strong bounce at the lower extreme of the channel.

An impressive day with the fear levels providing a deeply negative environment for a powerful up move as the market switches back into a buying phase.

This is a very unstable market and we should be prepared for much more of this type of action.

The T volume oscillator displays a severe decline which continues to be worrisome as the cash-build up line is very steep and therefore short. There is very little structure and this suggests that the current move is a dead cat's bounce and that there is a deeper low ahead of us.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 7, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Orion

The market drops into the gap and accelerates lower, displaying a significant amount of panic.

The recent Buy Signal is covered at 2741 and an S/T Sell Signal is triggered below 2720 with selling continuing into the close.

The Sell Signal remains active but I usually recommend to cover overnight and re-enter if appropriate.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 5, 2018No Comments

S&P500 daily update

Observer

A huge gap up and some profit-taking in a day that sees the market attempting to hold onto the Sunday night gains.

For now, the market looks fairly strong, back above the 200 day moving average and in effect removing the Bear market warning. That of course could change fast.

Certainly rather over-stretched, with the possibility that too much too soon may trigger some strong selling in the days to come. The 2760 level remains a key level to defend if the market is to stabilise and move higher into the end of the year.

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

Steve Rushton December 4, 2018No Comments

“Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication.”
Leonardo da Vinci

“Imagination is more important than knowledge”
Albert Einstein

“All of our days are numbered. We can not afford to be idle. To act on a bad idea is better than to not act at all because the worth of the idea never becomes apparent until you do it. Sometimes this idea can be the smallest thing in the world; a little flame that you hunch over and cup with your hand and pray will not be extinguished by all the storm that howls about it. If you can hold on to that flame, great things can be constructed around it; things that are massive and powerful and world changing. All held up by the tiniest of ideas.”
Nick Cave, 20,000 days on Earth

2026 Positions

(All numbers refer to SPX)

S/T BUY Signal at 7586 on 04 June

COVER Signal at 7554 on 03 June

S/T BUY Signal at 7413 on 20 May

COVER Signal at 7411 on 15 May

S/T BUY Signal at 6457 on 31 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6398 on 31 Mar

S/T SELL Signal at 6543 on 26 Mar

S/T BUY Signal above 6600 at 6620 on 25 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6567 on 25 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6554 on 24 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6581 on 24 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6554 on 24 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6581 on 24 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6554 on 24 Mar

COVER Signal at 6590 on 23 Mar

S/T BUY Signal at 6623 on 23 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6563 at 6600 on 23 Mar

S/T SELL Signal at 6666 on 18 Mar

COVER Signal at 6693 on 18 Mar

S/T BUY Signal at 6729 on 16 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6668 at 6698 on 16 Mar

S/T SELL Signal at 6756 on 11 Mar

S/T BUY Signal above 6826 on 10 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6792 on 10 Mar

S/T SELL Signal at 6765 on 10 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6772 on 09 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6810 on 06 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6822 on 05 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6822 on 05 Mar

COVER Signal below 6849 on 05 Mar

S/T BUY Signal at 6882 on 04 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6849 on 04 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6845 on 03 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6877 on 02 Mar

S/T SELL Signal below 6850 on 02 Mar

COVER Short Signal above 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6857 on 27 Feb

COVER Signal below 6884 at 6857 on 27 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6884 on 23 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6850 on 23 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 23 Feb

COVER Signal at 6864 on 23 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6883 on 18 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6834 on 17 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6888 on 12 Feb

COVER Signal at 6915 on 12 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6899 on 06 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 06 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6901 on 04 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

S/T SELL Signal at 6915 on 03 Feb

COVER Signal at 6942 on 03 Feb

S/T BUY Signal at 6968 on 02 Feb

COVER Short Signal at 6938 on 30 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6910 on 30 Jan

COVER Signal at 6940 on 30 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6907 on 29 Jan

COVER Signal at 6934 on 29 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6905 at 6923 on 22 Jan

COVER Signal at 6849 on 21 Jan

S/T SELL Signal below 6894 at 6843 on 20 Jan

COVER Signal below 6925 at 6843 on 20 Jan

S/T BUY Signal at 6961 on 15 Jan

COVER Signal below 6934 at 6925 on 14 Jan

S/T BUY Signal above 6890 at 6900 on 05 Jan

COVER Short Signal at 6864 on 02 Jan

S/T SELL Signal at 6837 on 02 Jan

Mission

It has been my Mission to create a simple but effective method for investing in the stock market, so that I would always know what to do regardless of the circumstances.

The result is a rigorous system which allows the market to tell you what to do, when to Buy, when to Hold, when to Cover, and when to Sell, and it removes the need for you to have any opinion whatsoever.

And so, I present to you the diary of my personal trading system, and a record of the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow me along but please understand that the information posted here is for entertainment purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Please sign up for my occasional FREE REPORTS and if you would like to find out more and receive my email alerts and more detailed observations, please SIGN UP HERE

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With new commentary and Insights on the life and times of Jesse Livermore Reminiscences of a Stock Operator is the fictionalized biography of perhaps the most famous financial speculator of all time–Jesse Livermore. This annotated edition bridges the gap between Edwin Lefevre′s fictionalized account of Livermore′s life and the actual, historical events, places, and people that populate the book. It also describes the variety of trading approaches Livermore used throughout his life and analyzes his psychological development as a trader and the lessons gained through hard experiences.

“In the end, I’m not interested in that which I fully understand. The words I have written over the years are just a veneer. There are truths that lie beneath the surface of the words... truths that rise up without warning, like the humps of a sea monster and then disappear. What performance and song is to me is finding a way to tempt the monster to the surface, to create a space, where the creature can break through what is real and what is known to us. This shimmering space where imagination and reality intersect... this is where all love and tears and joy exist. This is the place. This is where we live.”
Nick Cave 20,000 days on Earth

“If you're going to try, go all the way. Otherwise, don't even start. This could mean losing girlfriends, wives, relatives and maybe even your mind. It could mean not eating for three or four days. It could mean freezing on a park bench. It could mean jail. It could mean derision. It could mean mockery--isolation. Isolation is the gift. All the others are a test of your endurance, of how much you really want to do it. And, you'll do it, despite rejection and the worst odds. And it will be better than anything else you can imagine. If you're going to try, go all the way. There is no other feeling like that. You will be alone with the gods, and the nights will flame with fire. You will ride life straight to perfect laughter. It's the only good fight there is.”
Charles Bukowski, Factotum, 1975

>“The mind is a glass floor.
The mind is the spirit’s tear.
The mind is our prior and subsequent ghost.
The mind is the Bullion Express and the blood on the tracks.
The mind is a stone door.
The silver on the backs of mirrors.
The wave that defines the coast.
It’s what the drunk grave robbers couldn’t stuff in their sacks.
The mind is the sum of all and more.
The spasm between one and zero in the Calendar of Black-Hole Years.
The contract between the lash and the whipping post.
A quilt of dreams stitched with facts.
A meaningless argument among whores.
Rain that keeps falling when the sky clears.
A masquerade party, guest and host.
A candlelit landscape of puddled wax.
The mind is what thought is for.
The parking lot at the Mall of Fears.
The fire-pit for the piggy roast.
What the soul surrendered and won’t take back.
The mind is neither either nor or.
The real center of an empty sphere.”
Jim Dodge, Stone Junction, 1990

“The war is not meant to be won, it is meant to be continuous. Hierarchical society is only possible on the basis of poverty and ignorance. This new version is the past and no different past can ever have existed. In principle the war effort is always planned to keep society on the brink of starvation. The war is waged by the ruling group against its own subjects and its object is not the victory over either Eurasia or East Asia, but to keep the very structure of society intact.”
George Orwell

“There was a student... just the other day... who said that my problem, if one's nature is a problem, rather than just problematic, is that I see things in terms of victory or death, and not just victory but total victory. And it's true: I always have. It's either victory, or don't bother. The only thing worth doing is the impossible. Everything else is gray. You're born... as a man... with the nerves of a soldier, the apprehension of an angel, to lift a phrase, but there is no use for it. Here? Where's the use for it? You're set up to be a philosopher or a king or Shakespeare, and this is all they give you? This? Twenty- odd years of school which is all instruction in how to be ordinary... or they'll fucking kill you, they fucking will, and then it's a career, which is not the same thing as existence... I want unlimited things. I want everything. A real love. A real house. A real thing to do... every day. I'd rather die if I don't get it.”
The Gambler (2014), Dir. Rupert Wyatt