Dont chase me now

Another doji day. Market playin catch-up. Maybe the beginning of a mini-megaphone.

Given the track record of the recent upper rising resistance lines R1, R2 it makes good sense that the market will either bump and grind higher (like June and July) or scary sell- off (news related maybe) and find support on S1.

My charts are saying times up on this move, at least short term.

Chart of S&P500 for 14 November 2014

 

 

 

Consolidation

Still contained by the S2, and another doji day. Indecision.

A pullback to the mean would make sense, especially after a 220 point move, but perhaps we stumble into a high nearer to Thanksgiving.

Chart of S&P500 for 12 November 2014

Long in the tooth ?

Overbought on the RSI 2 (97) and RSI 14 (68), negative signal on the CCI 20.

Hard up against S2 resistance line, and a doji candle – indecision / decision time.

Within a day or 2 of a 70 day pulse from a major low.

At the end of the projected T structure from  September 2 high

A close below 2030 would be suggestive of a reversal so use as a profit protective stop.

Chart of S&P500 for 12 November 2014

still on a jolly?

Close to a short term top? Maybe. Maybe this week. My guess is the 12th.
Look out for a close below the low of the high day.

Notice the rising resistance line S2.
If / when we kiss this goodbye, then we should see a pullback to the S1 support line. Perhaps 1975-80

Of course, maybe we get more good news and head up into the 2050-2060 resistance area, and long term rising trend line R1.

Chart of S&P500 for 10 November 2014

move along now

Certainly moving into a peak here.
Should make it to 2050 now, look no fear, no hands on the wheel.

Looking for a momentum peak mid November, a low early December, and a subsequent rally in Christmas.

Chart of S&P500  for & November 2014

first target acheived

We arrive at the first arm of the projected T structure using split oscillator centres. We can expect a pullback to occur from here, perhaps after a re-test of the high today.

Still looks like we are heading into a peak around 10 or 11 november, but right now will need to grind sideways, or down a little, absorbing that massive move.

Further out look for a pull-back to the rising trend line S1.

Chart of S&P500 for 5 November 2014

 

Gap and go

A gap up and close at new highs – what a couple of weeks… the bull keeps going.

And looks like a new bull run is being initiated, with very strong volume oscillator.

Watch out for resistance along S2 for potential kiss goodbye, and target 2050 at the MOB.

Chart of S&P500 for 3 November 2014