Rosalia

All numbers refer to SPX

Market continuing to mark out the new higher range into the labor day holiday.

Buy Signal continues.

Daily chart of S&P 500 for 07 September 2021

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A second day of similar action at the new high, marking out the range and processing the price high with another choppy grind towards the high. Price action continues to be bullish but slightly hesitant and hinting at the possibility of a decline but without any fundamental change.

At, or near the next projection for a high and still in-line with the new T structure with initial highs projected from the recent price highs for 23 August, and 30 August (acheived), followed by early September, and with full potential into mid September.

Chart of S&P 500 with T volume oscillator for 07 September 2021

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The T volume oscillator 1 made a renewed Buy Signal on 23-24 August with a rise upwards through the cash build up line 2 confirming the new active T structure emerging from the 19 August low with projections for highs from the previous oscillator and price highs for 25 August and 23 August repectively (acheived), and beyond into late August and with full potential into early September.

1 The T volume oscillator is an indication of Buying Power within the market as a whole
2 The cash build-up line is a declining line drawn above a series of lower highs made in the oscillator.

Weekly chart of S&P 500 for 07 September 2021

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In the weekly chart, we can see that price continues to be strong within the rising channel established over the past year, but it is near the upper edge of the channel and perhaps over-extended as it is again outside of the bollinger bands and this might eventually be setting up a snap-back towards the mean.

The large structure, centered at the March 2020 low projected strength into Mid July and early August, with another projection into perhaps a more important high for mid September 2021, projected from the high in September 2018.

Monthly chart of S&P 500 for 07 September 2021

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The monthly chart continues to look excessive but very strong.

The current large structures project highs for August and/or for September 2021 and possibly longer into March and/or May 2022.

We should therefore be prepared for a change in direction (or consolidation) to occur soon.

2021 continues with a range that has become increasingly expansive since the move above 2500. With price above 4400 we can only assume that this will continue. This is a Brave New World and we should trade accordingly.

Regardless of whether the market can continue higher or whether significant lows are ahead of us, the simplicity of the proprietary price based S/T Signalling System will continue to keep us on the correct side of the market, with price currently back on a Buy Signal since moving above 4437 on 20 August 2021.

If you would like to learn more about using the S/T Signalling System please get in touch.

To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area, Explanatory Notes (pdf) for all of the concepts discussed, and Notes on Day Trading (pdf)

Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

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