All numbers refer to SPX
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Earth is gold, sea is green
The dream belongs to the dreamer
Starlit night, moonlight bright
The dream belongs to the dreamer
Ian Brown, The Dream And The Dreamer, 2019
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Market gradually pushing higher since breaking above 4400.
Buy Signal continues.
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A breakout above 4400 on 23 July but sideways near the high for 2 weeks.
A Cover Signal at 4389 on 02 August, but quickly reversed on 03 August with a renewed S/T Buy Signal at 4406.
Some slowing of momentum but the price action continues to be bullish with marking out of the new upper range.
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The T volume oscillator 1 made a Buy Signal on 21 July with a rise upwards through the cash build up line 2 confirming the new T structure emerging from the recent low with projections for highs from the previous oscillator and price highs for 26 July and then into 03 and 09 August, perhaps beyond with full potential into late August.
The slightly lack lustre oscillator indicates some caution with profit-taking going on in the back ground, and perhaps a lack of conviction in significantly higher prices.
1 The T volume oscillator is an indication of Buying Power within the market as a whole
2 The cash build-up line is a declining line drawn above a series of lower highs made in the oscillator.
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In the weekly chart above, we can see that price continues to be strong within the rising channel established over the past year, The oscillator was declining and flashing a warning of the expected weakness mid July but this appears to have been quickly resolved with the rapid reversal from 4233, which now looks like important support.
The large structure, centered at the March 2020 low projected strength into Mid July, with another projection into the first week of August and perhaps a more important high for mid September 2021.
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The monthly chart continues to look excessive but the market continues higher beyond the projection for a major high from the Mega T structure, which now looks like it completed with the declines in February 2020 and September 2020.
The current large structures project highs for August and/or for September 2021 and possibly longer into April 2022.
We should therefore be prepared for a change in direction to occur soon.
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2021 continues with a range that has become increasingly expansive since the move above 2500. With price above 4400 we can only assume that this will continue. This is a Brave New World and we should trade accordingly.
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Regardless of whether the market can continue higher or whether significant lows are ahead of us, the simplicity of the proprietary price based S/T Signalling System will continue to keep us on the correct side of the market, with price currently back on a Buy Signal since moving above 4406 on 03 August 2021.
If you would like to learn more about using the S/T Signalling System please get in touch.
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To receive detailed daily analysis, guidance and the updated daily Buy / Sell trigger levels being generated by the Trading the Line system before the market opens, and intra-day alerts when appropriate, please become a Member and Sign up for Alerts & Observations – includes access to Members Area, Explanatory Notes (pdf) for all of the concepts discussed, and Notes on Day Trading (pdf)
Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.



