Perpetua

Esto Perpetua
(May she live forever)

Paolo Sarpi, 1623

Selling initiated at the high on Wednesday continues triggering a cover signal at 2914 and an S/T SELL signal at 2900.

Strong buying at 2885 initiated a recovery to 2900 and in effect cancelling the Sell Signal, for now. The Mid-channel (pale blue band) providing strong initial support.

Two possibilities:

Either, yesterday was a one-day sell off and the market will now resume its grind higher. In which case we should see a close back above the S/T channel. (eg 15 August)

Or, yesterday is the beginning of a period of weakness as the market probes lower and builds a support platform. In which case the S/T channel continues to decline and provides ongoing resistance to advances until a low is in place. (eg 25 June)

Of course we cannot know for sure, and this is why we allow price to show us which scenario is most likely developing.

Chart of S&P 500 for 05 October 2018

Be prepared for whatever is coming next, and trade with confidence:

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Disclaimer: This is the diary of a personal trading system, its methodology and the signals that it is producing. You are welcome to follow along but please understand that the information presented here is for educational purposes only. No recommendations are being made to buy, or sell stocks, options or futures contracts. Please consult your own financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

 

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